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This match had in-play prices; no live commentary, stats or momentum.

Barton Town Old Boys 1-4 Chorley result, stats and report

1 – 4
FT 03:15
Chorley
Won
Chorley
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Chorley v Worcester City · Sat 17 Oct
Skip match sections

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Barton Town Old BoysChorleyFA Cup

The provider forecast gives Chorley win the highest 1X2 probability at 54.4%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

BAR
24.9%
Draw
20.6%
CHO
54.4%
Both teams to score · Yes
53.5%
Over 2.5 goals
58.8%

Full-time forecast audit: Chorley win was the highest probability; the match result was Chorley win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveslost

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

25%
21%
54%
24.9%BAR
20.6%Draw
54.4%CHO

Both Teams to Score

54%
Yes 53.5%No 46.5%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

59%
Yes 58.8%No 41.2%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
59%
Over 3.5
36%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
9.6%
1-2
9.2%
0-1
8.9%
0-2
8.2%
2-1
6.0%
1-0
5.8%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates CHO or draw at 55.8%; the most likely half-time state is CHO leading at half-time at 35.7%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 3.6%.

Double Chance

1X
38.9%
12
5.3%
X2
55.8%

Half-Time Result

BAR
32.1%
Draw
32.2%
CHO
35.7%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
BAR
Draw
CHO
BAR
19.6%
3.9%
2.7%
Draw
9.1%
12.1%
14.1%
CHO
1.9%
4.0%
32.6%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
3.6%
No
96.4%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.