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League One · MW5Ref: Neil Hair
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Barnsley 1-5 Stevenage result, stats and report

Barnsley
Lost · xG 2.03
1 – 5
FT
Won · xG 1.95
Stevenage
Next: Barnsley v Cambridge United · Sat 17 Oct · Bradford City v Stevenage · Sat 17 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

BarnsleyStevenageLeague One

The provider forecast gives Barnsley win the highest 1X2 probability at 39.7%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

BRS
39.7%
Draw
28.0%
STV
32.3%
Both teams to score · Yes
50.8%
Over 2.5 goals
45.5%

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultlost
Double chancelost
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveslost

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

40%
28%
32%
39.7%BRS
28.0%Draw
32.3%STV

Both Teams to Score

51%
Yes 50.8%No 49.2%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

45%
Yes 45.5%No 54.5%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
71%
Over 2.5
45%
Over 3.5
25%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
12.9%
1-0
10.7%
0-1
9.7%
0-0
8.8%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
7.2%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates BRS or draw at 48.5%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 44.7%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 4.7%.

Double Chance

1X
48.5%
12
8.8%
X2
42.7%

Half-Time Result

BRS
29.4%
Draw
44.7%
STV
25.9%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
BRS
Draw
STV
BRS
23.6%
5.5%
2.2%
Draw
14.6%
18.2%
12.1%
STV
2.8%
5.7%
15.3%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
4.7%
No
95.3%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.