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La Liga · MW3 Camp Nou, BarcelonaRef: Francisco José Hernández Maeso
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Barcelona 5-2 Rayo Vallecano result, stats and report

Barcelona
Won · xG 1.89
5 – 2
FT
Lost · xG 0.36
Rayo Vallecano
Next: Galatasaray v Barcelona · Tue 13 Oct · Getafe v Rayo Vallecano · Mon 19 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

BarcelonaRayo VallecanoLa Liga

The provider forecast gives Barcelona win the highest 1X2 probability at 74.5%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Barcelona
74.5%
Draw
15.9%
Rayo Vallecano
9.5%
Both teams to score · Yes
48.6%
Over 2.5 goals
63.0%

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveslost

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

75%
16%
74.5%Barcelona
15.9%Draw
9.5%Rayo Vallecano

Both Teams to Score

49%
Yes 48.6%No 51.4%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

63%
Yes 63.0%No 37.0%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
83%
Over 2.5
63%
Over 3.5
42%

Most Likely Correct Scores

2-0
11.8%
1-0
10.0%
3-0
9.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-1
7.3%
1-1
7.2%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Barcelona or draw at 73.0%; the most likely half-time state is Barcelona leading at half-time at 56.7%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 24.0%.

Double Chance

1X
73.0%
12
4.1%
X2
22.9%

Half-Time Result

Barcelona
56.7%
Draw
31.1%
Rayo Vallecano
12.2%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Barcelona
Draw
Rayo Vallecano
Barcelona
51.3%
2.9%
1.1%
Draw
19.7%
8.7%
3.8%
Rayo Vallecano
3.7%
4.1%
4.8%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
24.0%
No
76.0%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.