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Auxerre 2-1 Stade Brestois 29, full time in Ligue 1. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals, which did not land. Before this meeting the sides had met once in the fixtures we hold, and Auxerre won it.
By SportSignals Match Desk · Football analysis desk ·
Auxerre made it back-to-back Ligue 1 wins with a 2-1 victory over Stade Brestois 29, with R. Le Guen's own goal in the 83rd minute proving decisive after Cameron Archer had levelled for the visitors at the start of the second half.
Auxerre made it back-to-back Ligue 1 wins with a 2-1 victory over Stade Brestois 29, with R. Le Guen's own goal in the 83rd minute proving decisive after Cameron Archer had levelled for the visitors at the start of the second half.
Ligue 1Sun 20 Sept, 14:00
Key Takeaways
Result
Auxerre beat Stade Brestois 29 2-1 at home.
Goals
3 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.
First Goal
P
23'⚽
Pathé Mboup
JAssist: Joris Chotard
Game Flow
Expected Goals (xG)
Auxerre 0.79 xGStade Brestois 29 0.32 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
SportSignals model forecast
Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip
Auxerre to win
37%Matched
Result
2:1
Auxerre v Stade Brestois 29
Our model called Auxerre to win at 37%. Auxerre 2-1 Stade Brestois 29. Forecast matched the result.
📊 Match recap and data context
Auxerre beat Stade Brestois 29 by 2-1 at the Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps. Our model backed an Auxerre win at 37 percent probability, and the pick landed. Mboup put Brest ahead in the 23rd minute, but Archer levelled after the interval. Le Guen's own goal in the 83rd minute settled it for the hosts. Both sides arrived in poor form, each carrying one win and three losses from their last five matches. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.
The provider forecast gives Auxerre win the highest 1X2 probability at 37.1%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.
Auxerre
37.1%
Draw
28.0%
Stade Brestois 29
34.9%
Both teams to score · Yes
54.1%
Over 2.5 goals
49.1%
Full-time forecast audit: Auxerre win was the highest probability; the match result was Auxerre win.
Forecast result checked ·
Tips record
No Tip was published for this match
No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.
Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle
Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows
Pre-match facts retained
The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.