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Ligue 1 · MW5 Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps, AuxerreRef: Guillaume Paradis

Auxerre vs Stade Brestois 29 prediction, odds and how to watch

Kicks off in
13h 27m
Auxerre 37%Draw 28%Stade Brestois 29 35%
Kickoff and the final result. Lineups and goals are one switch more.
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Should you back Auxerre or Stade Brestois 29?

Auxerre vs Stade Brestois 29 kicks off UK time in Ligue 1. The match is at Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps, Auxerre. Our model's pick is Under 2.5 goals at a 50.9% modelled probability. These sides have met once in the fixtures we hold, and Auxerre won it.

Match intelligence · not a tip

No clear match-result favourite · Under 2.5 goals is more likely

Match-result model updated
Match-result probability · model
Auxerre37.2%
Draw28.0%
BTTS yes54.1%

Updated

Over 2.549.1%

Updated

Head to head · last 6Full H2H →

No recorded meetings between these two sides yet.

Provider forecast · Prediction tab · Methodology

Match facts

Match facts before kick-off

Head-to-head evidence
  • 3-0is the most common scoreline between Auxerre and Stade Brestois 29, landing 2 times across 6 league meetings on record.Latest pre-match snapshot
  • 2/6recorded league meetings saw both teams score (33.3%).Latest pre-match snapshot
  • 6league matches at home unbeaten for Auxerre.Latest pre-match snapshot
  • 2league matches away from home unbeaten for Stade Brestois 29.Latest pre-match snapshot
  • Auxerre scored first in 4 of their last 10 league matches (40%).Latest pre-match snapshot
  • Stade Brestois 29 scored first in 4 of their last 10 league matches (40%).Latest pre-match snapshot
  • Auxerre have averaged 1.6 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Latest pre-match snapshot
  • Stade Brestois 29 have averaged 1.2 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Latest pre-match snapshot
  • Rémy Labeau Lascary has the highest listed average xGOT for Auxerre at 0.47 across the provider's evidence window.Latest pre-match snapshot
  • Ludovic Ajorque has the highest listed average xGOT for Stade Brestois 29 at 0.56 across the provider's evidence window.Latest pre-match snapshot
Swipe or use arrows · 1 of 10

Useful historical patterns from our match facts feed, with the evidence window stated in each claim.Source: match facts feed · · Scope: league matches

Match Facts feed current.

Form & xG · last 6 games

Rolling across all competitions
6.1
xG for
9 +2.9
Goals
10.9
xGA
Last 6 matchesover-performing xG
12.6
xG for
8 -4.6
Goals
6.6
xGA
Last 6 matchesunder-performing xG
AuxerreNewest first

Goalsoutlined xG

Auxerre recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
MatchResultGoalsxG
1W11.15
2L10.38
3L11.34
4L21.81
5W20.39
6W21.01
Stade Brestois 29Newest first

Goalsoutlined xG

Stade Brestois 29 recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
MatchResultGoalsxG
1L00.98
2W22.59
3D21.57
4D22.78
5D11.65
6L13.07
Stade Brestois 29 have taken fewer points than their chances were worth: 5 points against 7.4 expected.Expected points reruns each match from its chances alone.
Auxerre generated 6.1 xG across their last 6 matches and scored 9, 2.9 above that chance total. Stade Brestois 29 generated 12.6 xG across their last 6 matches and scored 8, 4.6 below that chance total.

Team comparison · recent form

Auxerre: 6 matches · Stade Brestois 29: 6
Recent team comparison. Auxerre sample 6; Stade Brestois 29 sample 6.
MeasureAuxerreStade Brestois 29
Goals / game1.51.33
Conceded / game21.5
xG / game1.022.1
xG conceded / game1.821.1
Historical context, not stats from this fixture. xG coverage: 6 and 6 matches.Full team comparison
How to watch

How to watch Auxerre v Stade Brestois 29

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Lineups

Probable XIs

Probable · confirmed ~13:00
1Majecki
30Coudert
27Guindo
4Diaz
77Lala
71Guen
2Locko
23Doumbia
19Ajorque
Out / doubtful
🩹 Brendan Chardonnet injury
Changes
Most-frequent starters over the last 11 matches. Confirmed teams land about an hour before kickoff, and any change from this XI appears here.

Every linked name opens the player page · Full lineups and injuries →

Match Preview · published 31 Aug 2026, 09:29 BST

Auxerre's Fortress Home Form Faces a Brest Side Running on Empty

By SportSignals Match Desk · Football analysis desk ·

Auxerre host Stade Brestois 29 on Saturday with the home side unbeaten in their last five at the Abbé-Deschamps, while Brest arrive having failed to win a single away game in their last five attempts. Something has to give, and the evidence points firmly in…

Read the full preview
📊 Match preview and data context

Auxerre host Stade Brestois 29 on September 20 at 13:00 UTC at Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps. Auxerre have won one of their last five matches but both sides show strong both-teams-to-score form; Auxerre hit 80 percent BTTS in that span while Brest managed 60 percent. Auxerre hold the only win in their recent head-to-head record. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Auxerre v Stade Brestois 29 · Ligue 1 ·

More from this competition: Ligue 1 predictions · Ligue 1 odds

Questions about this match

  • When and where is Auxerre vs Stade Brestois 29?
    Auxerre vs Stade Brestois 29 takes place on Sunday 20 September at 14:00 (UK time) in the Ligue 1 at Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps, Auxerre.
  • Who is the model backing in Auxerre vs Stade Brestois 29?
    Our model's pick is Under 2.5 goals (totals), with around 51% confidence. No current price passed the integrity check. 18+. Predictions are informational, not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. begambleaware.org.
  • What is the head-to-head record between Auxerre and Stade Brestois 29?
    In their last 1 meetings, Auxerre won 1, Stade Brestois 29 won 0, with 0 draws. Both teams scored in 0 of those 1.
  • How can I watch Auxerre vs Stade Brestois 29?
    Check your local official broadcaster or rights-holder for Ligue 1 coverage in your region. SportSignals does not stream matches.
  • Are SportSignals predictions for Auxerre vs Stade Brestois 29 free?
    Yes. The model's predictions, odds comparison, stats and head-to-head for Auxerre vs Stade Brestois 29 are free to read. 18+. Predictions are informational, not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. begambleaware.org.
Tips record

Tip decision pending

The pre-match publication window is still open. No Tip has been recorded yet, so this is not a no-Tip decision.

Latest possible publication cutoff · kickoff 20 Sept, 14:00 BST

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.