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Ligue 1 · MW4 Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps, AuxerreRef: François Letexier
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Auxerre 1-0 Nice result, stats and report

Auxerre
Auxerre
Won · xG 1.15
1 – 0
FT 15:05
Nice
Lost · xG 0.95
Nice
Match review
Next: Auxerre v Le Mans · Sun 25 Oct · Stade Brestois 29 v Nice · Fri 23 Oct
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Who won Auxerre vs Nice?

Auxerre 1-0 Nice, full time in Ligue 1. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals, which landed. Before this meeting the sides had met once in the fixtures we hold, and Auxerre won it.

How it played out

Auxerre won it 1–0

AuxerreNice

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 3 · 15:05Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Auxerre 1–0 Nice

Nice took all three points in Ligue 1 despite being second best for large parts of the match, with Cameron Archer's 74th-minute strike settling a contest Auxerre simply did not deserve to lose on the balance of play.

Ligue 1Sat 12 Sept, 19:45
Key Takeaways
Result

Auxerre beat Nice 1-0 at home.

Goals

A single goal kept the match under the 2.5 line.

First Goal
C
74'⚽
Cameron Archer
CAssist: Christ Makosso
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Auxerre 1.15 xGNice 0.95 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Auxerre to win

40%Matched

Result

Auxerre1:0Nice

Auxerre v Nice

Our model called Auxerre to win at 40%. Auxerre 1-0 Nice. Forecast matched the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Auxerre beat Nice 1-0 at the Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps in Ligue 1. Our model backed an Auxerre win at 40% probability and the pick landed. The hosts broke a difficult run of form, having won just once in their last five matches, while Nice continued their struggles with no wins across their recent five outings. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Auxerre v Nice · Ligue 1 ·

More from this competition: Ligue 1 predictions · Ligue 1 odds

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Christ Makosso★ MOTM1 assist · 90 min8.4
  2. Youssouf NdayishimiyeNice90 min7.7
  3. Danny NamasoAuxerre81 min7.7
  4. Kévin DanoisAuxerre90 min7.6
  5. Jonathan ClaussNice90 min7.3

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

AuxerreNiceLigue 1

The provider forecast gives Auxerre win the highest 1X2 probability at 40.2%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Auxerre
40.2%
Draw
27.6%
Nice
32.2%
Both teams to score · Yes
52.7%
Over 2.5 goals
48.3%

Full-time forecast audit: Auxerre win was the highest probability; the match result was Auxerre win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

Pre-match facts retained

The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.

Head-to-head evidence

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 1-1is the most common scoreline between Auxerre and Nice, landing 3 times across 6 league meetings on record.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 6/6recorded league meetings saw both teams score (100%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 5league matches at home unbeaten for Auxerre.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Auxerre scored first in 4 of their last 10 league matches (40%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Nice scored first in 1 of their last 10 league matches (10%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Auxerre have averaged 1.6 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Nice have averaged 0.6 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Rémy Labeau Lascary has the highest listed average xGOT for Auxerre at 0.65 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Ali Abdi has the highest listed average xGOT for Nice at 0.45 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot

Immutable kick-off snapshot · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Auxerre vs Nice?
    Auxerre beat Nice 1-0 in the Ligue 1 at Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Cameron Archer opened the scoring in the 74th minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Cameron Archer (74').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 2 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    François Letexier officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    Auxerre vs Nice kicked off on Saturday, 12 September 2026 UK time at Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    11 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    Yes. The published pick was Under 2.5 goals, and it landed.
  • When do they play next?
    Auxerre play Le Mans on Sunday, 25 October 2026 UK time. Nice play Stade Brestois 29 on Friday, 23 October 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.