Atletico Madrid vs Manchester United prediction, odds and how to watch

Brighton won 3-2 at Old Trafford in the Carabao Cup, going two up inside ten minutes and holding firm despite United's greater share of possession and shots. United had more of everything that looks good on paper and still lost. That tells you everything.

Atletico Madrid dismantled Osasuna 4-0 at home, with goals from Jonathan David, Kang-in Lee, Robin Le Normand and Álex Baena completing a statement performance. Osasuna had no answer and, frankly, never looked like they would.

Atletico Madrid put Real Sociedad to the sword at the Reale Arena, with Jonathan David and Giuliano Simeone both scoring in the final minutes to wrap up a 3-0 win that was more comfortable than the scoreline suggests.

Atletico Madrid limp into Tuesday's Champions League clash having won just once in their last five European outings. Manchester United arrive with a point to prove and, on this evidence, reason for cautious belief.

Pro Ref has admitted VAR made an error of judgement in allowing Erling Haaland's derby winner to stand against Manchester United, but the admission changes nothing on the scoreline or in the table, where City remain unbeaten and United sit with one win in four.

Enzo Maresca dismissed City's two extra rest days over United ahead of Sunday's derby, but the real story is a widening form gap: City unbeaten in three, United on four points, and Luke Shaw facing a late fitness test.