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La Liga · MW5 San Mamés Barria, BilbaoRef: Manuel Jesús Orellana Cid
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Athletic Club 1-1 Elche result, stats and report

Athletic Club
Drew · xG 2.17
1 – 1
FT 12:05
Drew · xG 1.79
Elche
Next: Athletic Club v Espanyol · Fri 20 Nov · Elche v Real Betis · Sun 8 Nov
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Athletic ClubElcheLa Liga

The provider forecast gives Athletic Club win the highest 1X2 probability at 56.7%. A separately qualified SportSignals Tip has an official settlement record for this fixture.

Athletic Club
56.7%
Draw
24.8%
Elche
18.6%
Both teams to score · Yes
45.9%
Over 2.5 goals
45.3%

Full-time forecast audit: Athletic Club win was the highest probability; the match result was draw.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultlost
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

57%
25%
19%
56.7%Athletic Club
24.8%Draw
18.6%Elche

Both Teams to Score

46%
Yes 45.9%No 54.1%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

45%
Yes 45.3%No 54.7%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
70%
Over 2.5
45%
Over 3.5
23%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-0
14.5%
2-0
11.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
0-0
8.9%
0-1
6.3%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Athletic Club or draw at 61.2%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 44.8%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 7.6%.

Double Chance

1X
61.2%
12
8.9%
X2
29.9%

Half-Time Result

Athletic Club
36.8%
Draw
44.8%
Elche
18.4%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Athletic Club
Draw
Elche
Athletic Club
30.7%
5.3%
1.6%
Draw
18.9%
16.3%
8.9%
Elche
2.6%
5.0%
10.8%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
7.6%
No
92.4%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.