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La Liga · MW4 San Mamés Barria, BilbaoRef: José Luis Munuera Montero
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Athletic Club 3-0 Atletico Madrid result, stats and report

Athletic Club
Won · xG 1.21
3 – 0
FT
Lost · xG 0.97
Atletico Madrid
Next: Valencia v Athletic Club · Sat 17 Oct · Atletico Madrid v Manchester United · Tue 13 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Athletic ClubAtletico MadridLa Liga

The provider forecast gives Atletico Madrid win the highest 1X2 probability at 36.5%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Athletic Club
36.5%
Draw
27.0%
Atletico Madrid
36.5%
Both teams to score · Yes
53.7%
Over 2.5 goals
50.3%

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultlost
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

36%
27%
37%
36.5%Athletic Club
27.0%Draw
36.5%Atletico Madrid

Both Teams to Score

54%
Yes 53.7%No 46.3%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

50%
Yes 50.3%No 49.7%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
74%
Over 2.5
50%
Over 3.5
28%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
12.1%
1-0
9.4%
0-1
8.8%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
8.1%
0-0
7.5%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Athletic Club or draw at 49.6%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 42.5%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 4.6%.

Double Chance

1X
49.6%
12
7.5%
X2
42.9%

Half-Time Result

Athletic Club
33.5%
Draw
42.5%
Atletico Madrid
24.0%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Athletic Club
Draw
Atletico Madrid
Athletic Club
24.8%
4.8%
1.9%
Draw
15.7%
16.5%
10.9%
Atletico Madrid
2.2%
6.4%
16.8%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
4.6%
No
95.4%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.