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UEFA Europa Conference League · MW1 Gewiss Stadium, BergamoRef: Adam Ladebäck
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Atalanta 3-1 Pafos FC result, stats and report

Atalanta
Won · xG 3.06
3 – 1
FT 06:25
Lost · xG 0.96
Pafos FC
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Atalanta v Parma · Mon 2 Nov · Twente v Pafos FC · Thu 5 Nov
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

The provider forecast gives Atalanta win the highest 1X2 probability at 55.1%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Atalanta
55.1%
Draw
23.7%
PAF
21.2%
Both teams to score · Yes
47.7%
Over 2.5 goals
47.8%

Full-time forecast audit: Atalanta win was the highest probability; the match result was Atalanta win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

55%
24%
21%
55.1%Atalanta
23.7%Draw
21.2%PAF

Both Teams to Score

48%
Yes 47.7%No 52.3%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

48%
Yes 47.8%No 52.2%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
72%
Over 2.5
48%
Over 3.5
26%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-0
12.8%
1-1
11.0%
2-0
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
8.0%
0-1
6.9%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Atalanta or draw at 59.2%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 40.1%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 8.7%.

Double Chance

1X
59.2%
12
8.0%
X2
32.7%

Half-Time Result

Atalanta
39.5%
Draw
40.1%
PAF
20.4%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Atalanta
Draw
PAF
Atalanta
30.0%
5.2%
2.0%
Draw
16.5%
15.9%
9.0%
PAF
2.6%
4.0%
14.7%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
8.7%
No
91.3%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.