Skip to main content
Live
✦ SportSignals+ just now
Value SmartBetsNEW Props Predictions Live My Bets Alerts
UEFA Champions League · MW2 Villa Park, BirminghamRef: Ivan Kružliak
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Aston Villa 6-0 Fenerbahçe result, stats and report

Aston Villa
Won · xG 3.11
6 – 0
FT 06:25
Lost · xG 1.55
Fenerbahçe
Next: Aston Villa v Sunderland · Sat 21 Nov
Skip match sections

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Aston VillaFenerbahçeUEFA Champions League

The provider forecast gives Fenerbahçe win the highest 1X2 probability at 56.0%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Aston Villa
22.0%
Draw
22.0%
FEN
56.0%
Both teams to score · Yes
56.4%
Over 2.5 goals
60.9%

Full-time forecast audit: Fenerbahçe win was the highest probability; the match result was Aston Villa win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultlost
Double chancelost
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveslost

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

22%
22%
56%
22.0%Aston Villa
22.0%Draw
56.0%FEN

Both Teams to Score

56%
Yes 56.4%No 43.6%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

61%
Yes 60.9%No 39.1%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
82%
Over 2.5
61%
Over 3.5
39%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
9.6%
1-2
9.1%
0-1
8.5%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
6.2%
0-3
5.6%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates FEN or draw at 59.7%; the most likely half-time state is FEN leading at half-time at 44.6%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 3.2%.

Double Chance

1X
35.3%
12
5.0%
X2
59.7%

Half-Time Result

Aston Villa
18.2%
Draw
37.2%
FEN
44.6%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Aston Villa
Draw
FEN
Aston Villa
9.9%
3.8%
3.7%
Draw
7.8%
12.3%
17.9%
FEN
1.2%
4.8%
38.6%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
3.2%
No
96.8%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.