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UEFA Champions League · Wed, 09 Dec 2026, 20:00 KO Emirates Stadium, London

Arsenal vs Real Madrid prediction, odds and how to watch

Kickoff
9 Dec
Arsenal 40%Draw 22%Real Madrid 38%
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Provider prediction · not a Tip

Match intelligence

ArsenalReal MadridUEFA Champions League

The provider forecast gives Arsenal win the highest 1X2 probability at 39.9%. The Tip publication window remains open; no Tip is recorded yet, so no no-Tip decision is inferred.

Arsenal
39.9%
Draw
21.6%
Real Madrid
38.5%
Both teams to score · Yes
64.1%
Over 2.5 goals
66.0%

Provider forecast checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus Edge
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Edge separately compares a probability with an eligible price.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

40%
22%
38%
39.9%Arsenal
21.6%Draw
38.5%Real Madrid

Both Teams to Score

64%
Yes 64.1%No 35.9%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

66%
Yes 66.0%No 34.0%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
84%
Over 2.5
66%
Over 3.5
46%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
8.9%
2-1
7.9%
1-2
7.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-2
6.0%
0-1
5.3%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Arsenal or draw at 55.3%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 37.7%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 9.8%.

Double Chance

1X
55.3%
12
3.9%
X2
40.8%

Half-Time Result

Arsenal
35.1%
Draw
37.7%
Real Madrid
27.3%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Arsenal
Draw
Real Madrid
Arsenal
26.2%
4.8%
2.6%
Draw
14.0%
13.9%
11.0%
Real Madrid
2.6%
4.1%
20.9%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
9.8%
No
90.2%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.