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Serie B · MW5Ref: Mario Di Loreto
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Arezzo 1-4 Südtirol result, stats and report

Arezzo
Lost
1 – 4
FT 02:55
Next: Arezzo v Benevento · Sat 24 Oct · Südtirol v Sampdoria · Sat 24 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

ArezzoSüdtirolSerie B

The provider forecast gives Arezzo win the highest 1X2 probability at 41.2%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

ARE
41.2%
Draw
28.1%
SUD
30.7%
Both teams to score · Yes
49.3%
Over 2.5 goals
43.0%

Full-time forecast audit: Arezzo win was the highest probability; the match result was Südtirol win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultlost
Double chancelost
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveslost

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

41%
28%
31%
41.2%ARE
28.1%Draw
30.7%SUD

Both Teams to Score

49%
Yes 49.3%No 50.7%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

43%
Yes 43.0%No 57.0%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
69%
Over 2.5
43%
Over 3.5
22%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
12.9%
1-0
12.0%
0-0
9.8%
0-1
9.5%
2-1
8.8%
2-0
7.6%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates ARE or draw at 50.9%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 46.6%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 4.3%.

Double Chance

1X
50.9%
12
9.8%
X2
39.3%

Half-Time Result

ARE
31.4%
Draw
46.6%
SUD
22.0%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
ARE
Draw
SUD
ARE
25.1%
4.8%
1.9%
Draw
17.3%
20.6%
9.4%
SUD
2.0%
4.3%
14.7%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
4.3%
No
95.7%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.