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UEFA Europa LeagueRef: Donatas Rumšas
Full time

This match had in-play prices; no live commentary, stats or momentum.

Ararat-Armenia 1-0 Universitatea Craiova result, stats and report

Ararat-Armenia
Won · xG 0.86
1 – 0
FT
Lost · xG 1.49
Universitatea Craiova
Next: Jagiellonia Białystok v Ararat-Armenia · Thu 15 Oct · Universitatea Craiova v Getafe · Thu 15 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Ararat-ArmeniaUniversitatea CraiovaUEFA Europa League

The provider forecast gives Ararat-Armenia win the highest 1X2 probability at 39.8%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Ararat-Armenia
39.8%
Draw
26.5%
Universitatea C
33.8%
Both teams to score · Yes
53.1%
Over 2.5 goals
50.5%

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalslost
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

40%
26%
34%
39.8%Ararat-Armenia
26.5%Draw
33.8%Universitatea C

Both Teams to Score

53%
Yes 53.1%No 46.9%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

50%
Yes 50.5%No 49.5%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
50%
Over 3.5
29%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
12.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.5%
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.8%
0-0
7.3%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Ararat-Armenia or draw at 49.6%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 44.9%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 5.8%.

Double Chance

1X
49.6%
12
7.3%
X2
43.1%

Half-Time Result

Ararat-Armenia
29.8%
Draw
44.9%
Universitatea C
25.3%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Ararat-Armenia
Draw
Universitatea C
Ararat-Armenia
23.2%
5.2%
1.8%
Draw
15.5%
16.5%
12.2%
Universitatea C
2.3%
4.9%
18.3%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
5.8%
No
94.2%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.