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UEFA Europa League · MW1Ref: Mohammed Al Hakim
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Ararat-Armenia 1-4 Sparta Praha result, stats and report

Ararat-Armenia
Lost · xG 1.44
1 – 4
FT 09:25
Won · xG 2.48
Sparta Praha
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Torreense v Ararat-Armenia · Thu 5 Nov · Sparta Praha v Bournemouth · Thu 5 Nov
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Ararat-ArmeniaSparta PrahaUEFA Europa League

The provider forecast gives Sparta Praha win the highest 1X2 probability at 38.1%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Ararat-Armenia
38.1%
Draw
23.8%
SPA
38.1%
Both teams to score · Yes
57.6%
Over 2.5 goals
56.1%

Full-time forecast audit: Sparta Praha win was the highest probability; the match result was Sparta Praha win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveslost

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

38%
24%
38%
38.1%Ararat-Armenia
23.8%Draw
38.1%SPA

Both Teams to Score

58%
Yes 57.6%No 42.4%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

56%
Yes 56.1%No 43.9%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
79%
Over 2.5
56%
Over 3.5
34%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
11.3%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
8.2%
0-1
7.7%
1-0
7.6%
0-2
5.8%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates SPA or draw at 47.9%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 42.9%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 6.8%.

Double Chance

1X
46.4%
12
5.7%
X2
47.9%

Half-Time Result

Ararat-Armenia
24.6%
Draw
42.9%
SPA
32.5%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Ararat-Armenia
Draw
SPA
Ararat-Armenia
17.2%
4.5%
2.8%
Draw
12.7%
15.5%
14.5%
SPA
2.3%
4.3%
26.2%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
6.8%
No
93.2%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.