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UEFA Europa League · MW1Ref: Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Anderlecht 1-2 Lyon result, stats and report

Anderlecht
Lost · xG 1.35
1 – 2
FT 12:55
Won · xG 1.67
Lyon
Next: Gent v Anderlecht · Sun 25 Oct · Paris Saint Germain v Lyon · Sun 25 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

AnderlechtLyonUEFA Europa League

The provider forecast gives Anderlecht win the highest 1X2 probability at 43.4%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

ADL
43.4%
Draw
26.9%
Lyon
29.7%
Both teams to score · Yes
50.8%
Over 2.5 goals
48.3%

Full-time forecast audit: Anderlecht win was the highest probability; the match result was Lyon win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultlost
Double chancelost
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

43%
27%
30%
43.4%ADL
26.9%Draw
29.7%Lyon

Both Teams to Score

51%
Yes 50.8%No 49.2%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

48%
Yes 48.3%No 51.7%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
72%
Over 2.5
48%
Over 3.5
27%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
12.0%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
8.6%
0-0
8.5%
2-0
7.4%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates ADL or draw at 54.2%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 39.9%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 6.7%.

Double Chance

1X
54.2%
12
8.5%
X2
37.4%

Half-Time Result

ADL
36.5%
Draw
39.9%
Lyon
23.6%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
ADL
Draw
Lyon
ADL
28.5%
5.5%
2.2%
Draw
16.3%
14.2%
10.0%
Lyon
3.2%
4.9%
15.2%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
6.7%
No
93.3%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.