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Liga Portugal · MW5Ref: Luis Miguel Branco Godinho
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Alverca 1-2 Sporting Braga result, stats and report

Alverca
Lost · xG 0.94
1 – 2
FT
Won · xG 2.00
Sporting Braga
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Alverca v Arouca · Sat 24 Oct · FC København v Sporting Braga · Thu 15 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

AlvercaSporting BragaLiga Portugal

The provider forecast gives Sporting Braga win the highest 1X2 probability at 46.4%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

ALV
24.7%
Draw
28.9%
SBR
46.4%
Both teams to score · Yes
42.7%
Over 2.5 goals
38.1%

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

25%
29%
46%
24.7%ALV
28.9%Draw
46.4%SBR

Both Teams to Score

43%
Yes 42.7%No 57.3%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

38%
Yes 38.1%No 61.9%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
64%
Over 2.5
38%
Over 3.5
18%

Most Likely Correct Scores

0-1
14.0%
1-1
12.7%
0-0
12.1%
1-0
9.6%
0-2
9.3%
1-2
8.5%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates SBR or draw at 56.0%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 49.1%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 1.3%.

Double Chance

1X
31.9%
12
12.1%
X2
56.0%

Half-Time Result

ALV
15.6%
Draw
49.1%
SBR
35.2%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
ALV
Draw
SBR
ALV
9.1%
4.6%
2.6%
Draw
8.4%
20.0%
20.1%
SBR
1.2%
4.2%
29.7%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
1.3%
No
98.7%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.