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Liga Portugal ยท MW4Ref: Diogo Rosa
Full time

Alverca 1-1 Santa Clara result, stats and report

Alverca
Drew ยท xG 0.19
1 โ€“ 1
FT
Drew ยท xG 0.64
Santa Clara
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Forecast audit ยท prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

AlvercaSanta ClaraLiga Portugal

The provider forecast gives Alverca win the highest 1X2 probability at 38.3%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

ALV
38.3%
Draw
31.7%
SAN
30.1%
Both teams to score ยท Yes
43.8%
Over 2.5 goals
36.0%

Forecast result checked ยท

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalslost
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

38%
32%
30%
38.3%ALV
31.7%Draw
30.1%SAN

Both Teams to Score

44%
Yes 43.8%No 56.2%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

36%
Yes 36.0%No 64.0%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
63%
Over 2.5
36%
Over 3.5
17%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
14.0%
1-0
13.4%
0-0
12.8%
0-1
11.0%
2-1
7.7%
2-0
7.5%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates ALV or draw at 43.9%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 52.3%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 2.9%.

Double Chance

1X
43.9%
12
12.8%
X2
43.3%

Half-Time Result

ALV
24.7%
Draw
52.3%
SAN
22.9%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
ALV
Draw
SAN
ALV
18.0%
5.3%
1.5%
Draw
14.6%
24.8%
12.4%
SAN
2.0%
5.2%
16.2%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
2.9%
No
97.1%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ ยท Past performance does not guarantee future results ยท BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ ยท Past performance does not guarantee future results ยท BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.