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Liga Portugal · MW11

From kick-off: live commentary, stats, momentum and in-play prices from bet365.

Alverca vs Casa Pia prediction, odds and how to watch

Kickoff
7 Nov
ALV 37%Draw 28%CAS 35%
Kickoff and the final result. Lineups and goals are one switch more.
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Provider prediction · not a Tip

Match intelligence

AlvercaCasa PiaLiga Portugal

The provider forecast gives Alverca win the highest 1X2 probability at 36.7%. The Tip publication window remains open; no Tip is recorded yet, so no no-Tip decision is inferred.

ALV
36.7%
Draw
28.5%
CAS
34.8%
Both teams to score · Yes
47.5%
Over 2.5 goals
41.4%

Provider forecast checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

37%
28%
35%
36.7%ALV
28.5%Draw
34.8%CAS

Both Teams to Score

48%
Yes 47.5%No 52.5%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

41%
Yes 41.4%No 58.6%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
67%
Over 2.5
41%
Over 3.5
21%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
13.3%
1-0
11.8%
0-1
11.0%
0-0
9.9%
2-1
7.8%
1-2
7.6%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates ALV or draw at 48.0%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 50.0%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 3.2%.

Double Chance

1X
48.0%
12
9.9%
X2
42.1%

Half-Time Result

ALV
25.2%
Draw
50.0%
CAS
24.8%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
ALV
Draw
CAS
ALV
19.1%
5.3%
1.9%
Draw
14.6%
20.8%
13.8%
CAS
2.1%
5.5%
16.8%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
3.2%
No
96.8%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.