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La Liga 2 · MW9Ref: Gonzalo Romero Freixas
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Almería 3-0 Leganés result, stats and report

Almería
Won · xG 1.51
3 – 0
FT 01:05
Lost · xG 0.53
Leganés
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Girona v Almería · Sun 8 Nov · Trival Valderas v Leganés · Tue 10 Nov
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

AlmeríaLeganésLa Liga 2

The provider forecast gives Almería win the highest 1X2 probability at 65.6%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

ALM
65.6%
Draw
20.9%
LEG
13.5%
Both teams to score · Yes
48.8%
Over 2.5 goals
54.3%

Full-time forecast audit: Almería win was the highest probability; the match result was Almería win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

66%
21%
14%
65.6%ALM
20.9%Draw
13.5%LEG

Both Teams to Score

49%
Yes 48.8%No 51.3%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

54%
Yes 54.3%No 45.7%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
77%
Over 2.5
54%
Over 3.5
32%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-0
11.9%
2-0
11.3%
2-1
10.4%
1-1
9.8%
3-0
7.9%
3-1
6.7%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates ALM or draw at 69.7%; the most likely half-time state is ALM leading at half-time at 50.9%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 14.4%.

Double Chance

1X
69.7%
12
6.3%
X2
24.0%

Half-Time Result

ALM
50.9%
Draw
37.0%
LEG
12.1%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
ALM
Draw
LEG
ALM
44.5%
3.6%
1.2%
Draw
20.4%
13.3%
4.2%
LEG
3.4%
3.7%
5.6%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
14.4%
No
85.6%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.