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La Liga · MW8 Estadio de Mendizorroza, Vitoria-GasteizRef: Alejandro Quintero González
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Deportivo Alaves 1-2 Atletico Madrid result, stats and report

Deportivo Alaves
Deportivo Alaves
Lost · xG 1.08
1 – 2
FT 11:15
Atletico Madrid
Won · xG 2.33
Atletico Madrid
Match review
Next: Deportivo Alaves v Deportivo La Coruña · Sat 21 Nov · Getafe v Atletico Madrid · Sun 22 Nov
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Who won Deportivo Alaves vs Atletico Madrid?

Deportivo Alaves 1-2 Atletico Madrid, full time in La Liga. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Both teams to score, which landed. Before this meeting the sides had met 2 times in the fixtures we hold, with Deportivo Alaves winning 0, Atletico Madrid winning 1 and 1 drawn.

Match Review · published 10 Oct 2026, 18:10 BST

Atletico Madrid Win 2-1 at Alaves Despite Red Card Chaos and Late Scare

By SportSignals Match Desk · Football analysis desk ·

Atletico Madrid ground out a 2-1 victory at Deportivo Alaves in La Liga, with Grimaldo and Romero on target either side of a Boyé penalty that gave the hosts hope. A red card for Ángel Pérez in the second half made for a frantic finish.

Read the review
How it played out

Atletico Madrid won it 2–1

Deportivo AlavesAtletico Madrid

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 3 · 11:15Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Deportivo Alaves 1–2 Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid ground out a 2-1 victory at Deportivo Alaves in La Liga, with Grimaldo and Romero on target either side of a Boyé penalty that gave the hosts hope. A red card for Ángel Pérez in the second half made for a frantic finish.

La LigaSat 10 Oct, 15:15
Key Takeaways
Result

Atletico Madrid won 2-1 away at Deportivo Alaves.

Goals

3 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.

Chance quality

The chances backed the result: Deportivo Alaves 1.08 to Atletico Madrid 2.33 on expected goals.

First Goal
A
33'⚽
Alejandro Grimaldo
JAssist: Jonathan David
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Deportivo Alaves 1.08 xGAtletico Madrid 2.33 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Atletico Madrid to win

45%Matched

Result

Deportivo Alaves1:2Atletico Madrid

Deportivo Alaves v Atletico Madrid

Our model called Atletico Madrid to win at 45%. Deportivo Alaves 1-2 Atletico Madrid. Forecast matched the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Atletico Madrid won 2-1 at Deportivo Alaves in La Liga on Wednesday. Our model backed Atletico at 45 percent probability, and the pick landed. Grimaldo opened the scoring in the 33rd minute; Boyé leveled from the penalty spot in stoppage time at the end of the first half. Atletico restored their lead after Alaves' Ángel Pérez was sent off in the 61st minute. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Deportivo Alaves v Atletico Madrid · La Liga ·

More from this competition: La Liga predictions · La Liga odds

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Alejandro GrimaldoAtletico Madrid★ MOTM1 goal · 90 min8.4
  2. KokeAtletico Madrid90 min8.2
  3. Marcos LlorenteAtletico Madrid90 min7.8
  4. Cristian RomeroAtletico Madrid1 goal · 90 min7.7
  5. Álex BaenaAtletico Madrid1 assist · 44 min7.4

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Deportivo AlavesAtletico MadridLa Liga

The provider forecast gives Atletico Madrid win the highest 1X2 probability at 44.5%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Deportivo Alaves
29.8%
Draw
25.7%
Atletico Madrid
44.5%
Both teams to score · Yes
54.4%
Over 2.5 goals
52.5%

Full-time forecast audit: Atletico Madrid win was the highest probability; the match result was Atletico Madrid win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

10 facts from this result

The final verified live-context record and historical evidence saved before kick-off, kept as separate evidence sets.

Head-to-head evidence

Final live-fact record

  • For Atletico Madrid, the final recorded goal situation matched 9 comparable matches from 20 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
  • For Atletico Madrid, the final recorded goal situation matched 27 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
  • For Deportivo Alaves, the final recorded goal situation matched 9 comparable matches from 20 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final
  • For Deportivo Alaves, the final recorded goal situation matched 27 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final

Captured from live match context at . This is a retained situation record, not a post-match performance claim.

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 1-0is the most common scoreline between Deportivo Alaves and Atletico Madrid, landing 4 times across 18 league meetings on record.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • 8/18recorded league meetings saw both teams score (44.4%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Deportivo Alaves scored first in 7 of their last 10 league matches (70%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Atletico Madrid scored first in 8 of their last 10 league matches (80%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Deportivo Alaves have averaged 1.4 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Atletico Madrid have averaged 2.0 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable lifecycle evidence

Immutable lifecycle evidence · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Deportivo Alaves vs Atletico Madrid?
    Atletico Madrid beat Deportivo Alaves 2-1 in the La Liga at Estadio de Mendizorroza.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Alejandro Grimaldo opened the scoring in the 33rd minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Alejandro Grimaldo (33'), Lucas Boyé (51'), Cristian Romero (87').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 3 yellow cards and 1 red card.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Alejandro Quintero González officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    Deportivo Alaves vs Atletico Madrid kicked off on Saturday, 10 October 2026 UK time at Estadio de Mendizorroza.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    10 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    Yes. The published pick was Both teams to score, and it landed.
  • When do they play next?
    Deportivo Alaves play Deportivo La Coruña on Saturday, 21 November 2026 UK time. Atletico Madrid play Getafe on Sunday, 22 November 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.