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Saudi Pro League · MW4Ref: Mohammed Abu Shaqarah
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Al Riyadh 1-0 NEOM SC result, stats and report

Al Riyadh
Won · xG 1.01
1 – 0
FT
Lost · xG 0.47
NEOM SC
Next: Al Riyadh v Al Taawoun · Sat 24 Oct · NEOM SC v Abha · Sat 24 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Al RiyadhNEOM SCSaudi Pro League

The provider forecast gives NEOM SC win the highest 1X2 probability at 55.5%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

RIY
19.8%
Draw
24.8%
NEO
55.5%
Both teams to score · Yes
47.3%
Over 2.5 goals
48.9%

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalslost
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultlost
Double chancelost
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

20%
25%
55%
19.8%RIY
24.8%Draw
55.5%NEO

Both Teams to Score

47%
Yes 47.3%No 52.7%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

49%
Yes 48.9%No 51.1%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
73%
Over 2.5
49%
Over 3.5
29%

Most Likely Correct Scores

0-1
11.8%
0-2
10.7%
1-1
10.7%
1-2
8.9%
0-0
8.4%
1-0
6.3%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates NEO or draw at 61.1%; the most likely half-time state is NEO leading at half-time at 41.9%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 1.8%.

Double Chance

1X
30.4%
12
8.4%
X2
61.1%

Half-Time Result

RIY
16.9%
Draw
41.2%
NEO
41.9%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
RIY
Draw
NEO
RIY
10.0%
4.0%
2.8%
Draw
6.9%
14.8%
18.4%
NEO
1.5%
4.4%
37.1%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
1.8%
No
98.2%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.