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Saudi Pro League ยท MW4Ref: Majed Al Shamrani
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Al-Qadsiah 3-1 Al Faisaly result, stats and report

Al-Qadsiah
Won ยท xG 2.10
3 โ€“ 1
FT
Lost ยท xG 0.72
Al Faisaly
Next: Al Kholood v Al-Qadsiah ยท Fri 9 Oct ยท Abha v Al Faisaly ยท Sun 11 Oct
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Forecast audit ยท prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Al-QadsiahAl FaisalySaudi Pro League

The provider forecast gives Al-Qadsiah win the highest 1X2 probability at 59.0%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

QAD
59.0%
Draw
20.9%
Al Faisaly
20.1%
Both teams to score ยท Yes
58.9%
Over 2.5 goals
63.3%

Forecast result checked ยท

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

59%
21%
20%
59.0%QAD
20.9%Draw
20.1%Al Faisaly

Both Teams to Score

59%
Yes 58.9%No 41.1%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

63%
Yes 63.3%No 36.7%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
83%
Over 2.5
63%
Over 3.5
44%

Most Likely Correct Scores

2-1
9.0%
1-1
8.9%
2-0
8.4%
1-0
8.2%
3-1
7.2%
2-2
5.8%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates QAD or draw at 65.0%; the most likely half-time state is QAD leading at half-time at 46.0%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 17.1%.

Double Chance

1X
65.0%
12
4.3%
X2
30.7%

Half-Time Result

QAD
46.0%
Draw
36.1%
Al Faisaly
17.9%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
QAD
Draw
Al Faisaly
QAD
37.8%
5.4%
2.7%
Draw
15.7%
12.6%
7.7%
Al Faisaly
3.6%
3.5%
11.1%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
17.1%
No
82.9%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ ยท Past performance does not guarantee future results ยท BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ ยท Past performance does not guarantee future results ยท BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.