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By SportSignals Match Desk · Football analysis desk ·
Al-Qadsiah led twice and created the better chances throughout, but Al Ettifaq refused to lie down and levelled through Jordan Larsson in the 85th minute to earn a share of the spoils in a frantic Saudi Pro League encounter.
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📊 Match recap and data context
Al-Qadsiah and Al Ettifaq drew 3-3 in a Saudi Pro League match that saw our model's pick for an Al-Qadsiah win at 65% probability miss the mark. Al-Qadsiah arrived in strong form with five consecutive wins, while Al Ettifaq had taken three wins from their last five outings. Both sides found the net multiple times in a game that delivered the goals both teams' recent patterns suggested was possible. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.
The provider forecast gives Al-Qadsiah win the highest 1X2 probability at 64.6%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.
QAD
64.6%
Draw
19.1%
ETT
16.2%
Both teams to score · Yes
58.8%
Over 2.5 goals
64.7%
Forecast result checked ·
Tips record
No Tip was published for this match
No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.
Julián Quiñones opened the scoring in the 12th minute.
▸Who scored in the match?
Julián Quiñones (12'), Mateo Retegui (15'), Bersant Celina (26'), Álvaro Medrán (64'), Mohammed bin Hamad bin Dwaihi Al Swaidan Al Qahtani (81'), Jordan Larsson (85').
▸How many bookings were there?
The referee showed 8 yellow cards.
▸Who refereed the match?
José María Sánchez Martínez officiated.
▸When and where was the match played?
QAD vs ETT kicked off on Friday, 11 September 2026 UK time.
▸How many corners were there in the match?
3 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
▸Did the model call it right?
Yes. The published pick was Both teams to score, and it landed.
Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.
🎯 How the model called it
2 of 3 right
QAD64.6%Wrong
Draw19.1%Landed
ETT16.2%
Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 rated 64.7%, so the model leaned overRight
Both teams to scoreBTTS rated 58.8%, so the model leaned yesRight