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Al-Qadsiah 3-3 Al Ettifaq, full time in the Saudi Pro League. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Both teams to score, which landed. Before this meeting the sides had met once in the fixtures we hold, and Al Ettifaq won it.
By SportSignals Match Desk · Football analysis desk ·
Al-Qadsiah led twice and created the better chances throughout, but Al Ettifaq refused to lie down and levelled through Jordan Larsson in the 85th minute to earn a share of the spoils in a frantic Saudi Pro League encounter.
Al-Qadsiah led twice and created the better chances throughout, but Al Ettifaq refused to lie down and levelled through Jordan Larsson in the 85th minute to earn a share of the spoils in a frantic Saudi Pro League encounter.
Saudi Pro LeagueFri 11 Sept, 16:25
Key Takeaways
Result
Al-Qadsiah and Al Ettifaq drew 3-3.
Goals
6 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.
First Goal
J
12'⚽
Julián Quiñones
MAssist: Mohammed Abu Al-Shamat
Game Flow
Expected Goals (xG)
Al-Qadsiah 2.40 xGAl Ettifaq 0.83 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
SportSignals model forecast
Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip
Al-Qadsiah to win
65%Missed
Result
3:3
QAD v ETT
Our model leaned Al-Qadsiah to win at 65%. Al-Qadsiah 3-3 Al Ettifaq. Forecast did not match the result.
📊 Match recap and data context
Al-Qadsiah and Al Ettifaq drew 3-3 in a Saudi Pro League match that saw our model's pick for an Al-Qadsiah win at 65% probability miss the mark. Al-Qadsiah arrived in strong form with five consecutive wins, while Al Ettifaq had taken three wins from their last five outings. Both sides found the net multiple times in a game that delivered the goals both teams' recent patterns suggested was possible. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.
The provider forecast gives Al-Qadsiah win the highest 1X2 probability at 64.6%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.
QAD
64.6%
Draw
19.1%
ETT
16.2%
Both teams to score · Yes
58.8%
Over 2.5 goals
64.7%
Full-time forecast audit: Al-Qadsiah win was the highest probability; the match result was draw.
Forecast result checked ·
Tips record
No Tip was published for this match
No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.
Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle
Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows
Pre-match facts retained
The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.
Julián Quiñones opened the scoring in the 12th minute.
▸Who scored in the match?
Julián Quiñones (12'), Mateo Retegui (15'), Bersant Celina (26'), Álvaro Medrán (64'), Mohammed bin Hamad bin Dwaihi Al Swaidan Al Qahtani (81'), Jordan Larsson (85').
▸How many bookings were there?
The referee showed 8 yellow cards.
▸Who refereed the match?
José María Sánchez Martínez officiated.
▸When and where was the match played?
QAD vs ETT kicked off on Friday, 11 September 2026 UK time.
▸How many corners were there in the match?
3 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
▸Did the model call it right?
Yes. The published pick was Both teams to score, and it landed.
▸When do they play next?
QAD play Al-Qadsiah on Thursday, 5 November 2026 UK time. ETT play Al Ettifaq on Saturday, 7 November 2026 UK time.
Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.
🎯 How the model called it
2 of 3 right
QAD64.6%Wrong
Draw19.1%Landed
ETT16.2%
Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 rated 64.7%, so the model leaned overRight
Both teams to scoreBTTS rated 58.8%, so the model leaned yesRight