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Saudi Pro League · MW6Ref: Shukri Hussain Al-Hunfush
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Al Nassr 2-1 Abha result, stats and report

Al Nassr
Won · xG 1.32
2 – 1
FT 15:25
Lost · xG 0.29
Abha
Next: Al Faisaly v Al Nassr · Fri 23 Oct · NEOM SC v Abha · Sat 24 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Al NassrAbhaSaudi Pro League

The provider forecast gives Al Nassr win the highest 1X2 probability at 66.8%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

ANA
66.8%
Draw
18.9%
ABH
14.3%
Both teams to score · Yes
56.0%
Over 2.5 goals
61.5%

Full-time forecast audit: Al Nassr win was the highest probability; the match result was Al Nassr win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorewon
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

67%
19%
14%
66.8%ANA
18.9%Draw
14.3%ABH

Both Teams to Score

56%
Yes 56.0%No 44.0%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

62%
Yes 61.5%No 38.5%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
82%
Over 2.5
62%
Over 3.5
40%

Most Likely Correct Scores

2-1
10.4%
2-0
10.2%
1-0
9.2%
1-1
8.8%
3-1
7.4%
3-0
7.0%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates ANA or draw at 70.1%; the most likely half-time state is ANA leading at half-time at 50.7%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 18.6%.

Double Chance

1X
70.1%
12
4.7%
X2
25.2%

Half-Time Result

ANA
50.7%
Draw
33.7%
ABH
15.7%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
ANA
Draw
ABH
ANA
45.9%
3.6%
1.2%
Draw
17.1%
11.2%
4.8%
ABH
4.9%
3.7%
7.6%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
18.6%
No
81.4%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.