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Saudi Pro League · MW4Ref: Shukri Hussain Al-Hunfush
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Al Kholood 3-1 Al Ahli result, stats and report

Al Kholood
Won · xG 0.16
3 – 1
FT
Lost · xG 0.74
Al Ahli
Next: Abha v Al Kholood · Mon 19 Oct · Al-Fayha v Al Ahli · Mon 19 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Al KholoodAl AhliSaudi Pro League

The provider forecast gives Al Ahli win the highest 1X2 probability at 57.5%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

KHO
19.4%
Draw
23.1%
AHL
57.5%
Both teams to score · Yes
50.9%
Over 2.5 goals
53.4%

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultlost
Double chancelost
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

19%
23%
58%
19.4%KHO
23.1%Draw
57.5%AHL

Both Teams to Score

51%
Yes 50.9%No 49.1%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

53%
Yes 53.4%No 46.6%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
77%
Over 2.5
53%
Over 3.5
31%

Most Likely Correct Scores

0-1
10.8%
1-1
10.3%
0-2
10.2%
1-2
9.9%
0-0
6.8%
0-3
6.1%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates AHL or draw at 61.8%; the most likely half-time state is AHL leading at half-time at 41.1%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 1.8%.

Double Chance

1X
31.4%
12
6.8%
X2
61.8%

Half-Time Result

KHO
18.6%
Draw
40.3%
AHL
41.1%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
KHO
Draw
AHL
KHO
10.2%
4.4%
3.4%
Draw
7.0%
13.0%
18.9%
AHL
1.5%
4.2%
37.4%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
1.8%
No
98.2%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.