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Saudi Pro League · MW4Ref: Istvan Kovacs
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Al Khaleej 1-5 Al Hilal result, stats and report

Al Khaleej
Lost · xG 1.27
1 – 5
FT
Won · xG 2.31
Al Hilal
Next: Al Khaleej v Al-Fayha · Thu 15 Oct · Al Riyadh v Al Hilal · Fri 16 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Al KhaleejAl HilalSaudi Pro League

The provider forecast gives Al Hilal win the highest 1X2 probability at 82.0%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

KHA
6.0%
Draw
12.0%
ALH
82.0%
Both teams to score · Yes
46.0%
Over 2.5 goals
67.3%

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveslost

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

82%
6.0%KHA
12.0%Draw
82.0%ALH

Both Teams to Score

46%
Yes 46.0%No 54.0%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

67%
Yes 67.3%No 32.7%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
85%
Over 2.5
67%
Over 3.5
46%

Most Likely Correct Scores

0-2
12.0%
0-3
10.5%
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.3%
1-3
7.2%
1-1
5.3%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates ALH or draw at 78.0%; the most likely half-time state is ALH leading at half-time at 62.4%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 0.3%.

Double Chance

1X
18.6%
12
3.5%
X2
78.0%

Half-Time Result

KHA
10.1%
Draw
27.5%
ALH
62.4%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
KHA
Draw
ALH
KHA
3.5%
2.5%
4.0%
Draw
2.9%
7.0%
18.8%
ALH
0.7%
2.6%
58.0%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
0.3%
No
99.7%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.