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Saudi Pro League · MW9Ref: Mohammed Al Shhrani
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Al Hazm 2-3 Al Fateh result, stats and report

Al Hazm
Lost · xG 1.90
2 – 3
FT 01:45
Won · xG 2.03
Al Fateh
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Al Riyadh v Al Hazm · Fri 20 Nov · Al-Fayha v Al Fateh · Fri 20 Nov
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Al HazmAl FatehSaudi Pro League

The provider forecast gives Al Hazm win the highest 1X2 probability at 37.1%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

HAZ
37.1%
Draw
26.2%
FAT
36.7%
Both teams to score · Yes
56.0%
Over 2.5 goals
51.7%

Full-time forecast audit: Al Hazm win was the highest probability; the match result was Al Fateh win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultlost
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveslost

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

37%
26%
37%
37.1%HAZ
26.2%Draw
36.7%FAT

Both Teams to Score

56%
Yes 56.0%No 44.0%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

52%
Yes 51.7%No 48.3%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
76%
Over 2.5
52%
Over 3.5
29%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
12.4%
1-0
8.9%
1-2
8.8%
0-1
8.7%
2-1
8.4%
0-0
6.6%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates FAT or draw at 47.2%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 42.4%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 5.0%.

Double Chance

1X
46.2%
12
6.6%
X2
47.2%

Half-Time Result

HAZ
28.3%
Draw
42.4%
FAT
29.3%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
HAZ
Draw
FAT
HAZ
20.9%
4.9%
2.8%
Draw
13.2%
16.0%
13.6%
FAT
2.9%
6.3%
19.3%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
5.0%
No
95.0%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.