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Saudi Pro League · MW5Ref: Abdullah bin Fahad bin Abdulaziz Al-Owaidan
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Al Ahli 5-0 Al Riyadh result, stats and report

Al Ahli
Won · xG 2.15
5 – 0
FT
Lost · xG 0.35
Al Riyadh
Next: Al Ahli v Al Nassr · Thu 15 Oct · Al Riyadh v Al Hilal · Fri 16 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Al AhliAl RiyadhSaudi Pro League

The provider forecast gives Al Ahli win the highest 1X2 probability at 76.3%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

AHL
76.3%
Draw
15.1%
RIY
8.5%
Both teams to score · Yes
50.6%
Over 2.5 goals
65.1%

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveslost

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

76%
15%
76.3%AHL
15.1%Draw
8.5%RIY

Both Teams to Score

51%
Yes 50.6%No 49.4%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

65%
Yes 65.1%No 34.9%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
84%
Over 2.5
65%
Over 3.5
41%

Most Likely Correct Scores

2-0
11.4%
2-1
10.7%
3-0
9.7%
1-0
9.2%
3-1
7.3%
1-1
7.0%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates AHL or draw at 72.6%; the most likely half-time state is AHL leading at half-time at 52.3%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 24.7%.

Double Chance

1X
72.6%
12
4.0%
X2
23.4%

Half-Time Result

AHL
52.3%
Draw
34.6%
RIY
13.1%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
AHL
Draw
RIY
AHL
49.2%
3.0%
1.1%
Draw
20.2%
9.3%
3.6%
RIY
4.9%
3.5%
5.2%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
24.7%
No
75.3%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.