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AFC Wimbledon 1-0 Wigan Athletic result, stats and report

AFC Wimbledon
Won ยท xG 0.87
1 โ€“ 0
FT
Lost ยท xG 2.49
Wigan Athletic
Next: Cambridge United v AFC Wimbledon ยท Sat 26 Sept ยท Wigan Athletic v Wycombe Wanderers ยท Sat 19 Sept
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Forecast audit ยท prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

AFC WimbledonWigan AthleticLeague One

The provider forecast gives AFC Wimbledon win the highest 1X2 probability at 40.0%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

AWM
40.0%
Draw
27.6%
WIG
32.4%
Both teams to score ยท Yes
52.4%
Over 2.5 goals
46.7%

Forecast result checked ยท

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalslost
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

40%
28%
32%
40.0%AWM
27.6%Draw
32.4%WIG

Both Teams to Score

52%
Yes 52.4%No 47.6%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

47%
Yes 46.7%No 53.3%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
71%
Over 2.5
47%
Over 3.5
25%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
12.6%
1-0
10.5%
0-1
9.3%
0-0
8.9%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
7.5%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates AWM or draw at 48.6%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 47.9%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 4.7%.

Double Chance

1X
48.6%
12
8.9%
X2
42.5%

Half-Time Result

AWM
27.0%
Draw
47.9%
WIG
25.2%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
AWM
Draw
WIG
AWM
21.0%
5.1%
2.0%
Draw
14.7%
20.1%
12.2%
WIG
2.3%
5.3%
17.2%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
4.7%
No
95.3%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ ยท Past performance does not guarantee future results ยท BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ ยท Past performance does not guarantee future results ยท BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.