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Eredivisie · MW9Ref: Martin van den Kerkhof
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

ADO Den Haag 2-1 PSV Eindhoven result, stats and report

ADO Den Haag
Won · xG 1.31
2 – 1
FT 06:25
Lost · xG 1.43
PSV Eindhoven
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: SC Cambuur v PSV Eindhoven · Sun 8 Nov
Skip match sections

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

ADO Den HaagPSV EindhovenEredivisie

The provider forecast gives PSV Eindhoven win the highest 1X2 probability at 46.0%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

ADO
31.8%
Draw
22.3%
PSV Eindhoven
46.0%
Both teams to score · Yes
60.0%
Over 2.5 goals
62.2%

Full-time forecast audit: PSV Eindhoven win was the highest probability; the match result was ADO Den Haag win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultlost
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

32%
22%
46%
31.8%ADO
22.3%Draw
46.0%PSV Eindhoven

Both Teams to Score

60%
Yes 60.0%No 40.0%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

62%
Yes 62.2%No 37.8%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
82%
Over 2.5
62%
Over 3.5
41%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
9.7%
1-2
8.6%
0-1
8.0%
0-2
6.9%
2-1
6.5%
2-2
5.7%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates ADO or draw at 48.5%; the most likely half-time state is PSV Eindhoven leading at half-time at 33.9%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 7.8%.

Double Chance

1X
48.5%
12
4.4%
X2
47.1%

Half-Time Result

ADO
33.4%
Draw
32.6%
PSV Eindhoven
33.9%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
ADO
Draw
PSV Eindhoven
ADO
25.3%
5.1%
3.7%
Draw
13.0%
10.3%
9.7%
PSV Eindhoven
3.1%
6.0%
24.0%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
7.8%
No
92.2%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.