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Serie A · MW2 Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, MilanoRef: Gianluca Manganiello
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

AC Milan 2-0 Venezia result, stats and report

AC Milan
Won · xG 2.34
2 – 0
FT
Lost · xG 0.74
Venezia
Next: Salzburg v AC Milan · Thu 15 Oct · Venezia v Napoli · Sat 17 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

AC MilanVeneziaSerie A

The provider forecast gives AC Milan win the highest 1X2 probability at 42.2%. A separately qualified SportSignals Tip has an official settlement record for this fixture.

AC Milan
42.2%
Draw
27.1%
VEN
30.6%
Both teams to score · Yes
50.4%
Over 2.5 goals
46.9%

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

42%
27%
31%
42.2%AC Milan
27.1%Draw
30.6%VEN

Both Teams to Score

50%
Yes 50.4%No 49.6%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

47%
Yes 46.9%No 53.1%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
71%
Over 2.5
47%
Over 3.5
25%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
12.1%
1-0
11.4%
0-0
8.9%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
8.7%
2-0
7.5%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates AC Milan or draw at 47.8%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 40.2%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 4.8%.

Double Chance

1X
47.8%
12
8.9%
X2
43.2%

Half-Time Result

AC Milan
30.6%
Draw
40.2%
VEN
29.2%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
AC Milan
Draw
VEN
AC Milan
22.5%
5.8%
2.3%
Draw
12.5%
14.7%
12.3%
VEN
2.4%
6.5%
21.0%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
4.8%
No
95.2%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.