Skip to main content
Live
✦ SportSignals+ just now
Value SmartBetsNEW Props Predictions Live My Bets Alerts
Serie A · MW5 Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, MilanoRef: Federico La Penna
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

AC Milan 3-0 Lecce result, stats and report

AC Milan
Won · xG 1.43
3 – 0
FT
Lost · xG 0.22
Lecce
Next: Bournemouth v AC Milan · Thu 22 Oct · Lecce v Juventus · Sun 25 Oct
Skip match sections

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

AC MilanLecceSerie A

The provider forecast gives AC Milan win the highest 1X2 probability at 55.5%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

AC Milan
55.5%
Draw
23.7%
Lecce
20.8%
Both teams to score · Yes
50.6%
Over 2.5 goals
49.6%

Full-time forecast audit: AC Milan win was the highest probability; the match result was AC Milan win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

56%
24%
21%
55.5%AC Milan
23.7%Draw
20.8%Lecce

Both Teams to Score

51%
Yes 50.6%No 49.4%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

50%
Yes 49.6%No 50.4%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
74%
Over 2.5
50%
Over 3.5
27%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-0
12.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-0
10.2%
2-1
10.1%
0-0
7.2%
0-1
6.6%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates AC Milan or draw at 60.2%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 40.7%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 9.2%.

Double Chance

1X
60.2%
12
7.2%
X2
32.6%

Half-Time Result

AC Milan
40.5%
Draw
40.7%
Lecce
18.8%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
AC Milan
Draw
Lecce
AC Milan
34.8%
5.0%
1.5%
Draw
18.6%
14.8%
7.6%
Lecce
2.8%
4.8%
10.2%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
9.2%
No
90.8%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.