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Scottish Premiership · MW8Ref: Ryan Lee
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Aberdeen 0-1 St. Johnstone result, stats and report

Aberdeen
Lost · xG 1.60
0 – 1
FT 00:25
Won · xG 1.20
St. Johnstone
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Aberdeen v Hibernian · Sat 7 Nov · St. Johnstone v Dundee · Sat 7 Nov
Skip match sections

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

AberdeenSt. JohnstoneScottish Premiership

The provider forecast gives Aberdeen win the highest 1X2 probability at 40.7%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

ABE
40.7%
Draw
25.5%
STJ
33.8%
Both teams to score · Yes
51.3%
Over 2.5 goals
49.5%

Full-time forecast audit: Aberdeen win was the highest probability; the match result was St. Johnstone win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalslost
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultlost
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

41%
26%
34%
40.7%ABE
25.5%Draw
33.8%STJ

Both Teams to Score

51%
Yes 51.3%No 48.7%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

50%
Yes 49.5%No 50.5%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
74%
Over 2.5
50%
Over 3.5
28%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
11.8%
1-0
10.1%
0-1
8.3%
2-1
8.1%
0-0
7.7%
1-2
7.5%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates STJ or draw at 47.6%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 41.6%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 5.4%.

Double Chance

1X
44.8%
12
7.7%
X2
47.6%

Half-Time Result

ABE
28.7%
Draw
41.6%
STJ
29.6%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
ABE
Draw
STJ
ABE
19.6%
5.3%
3.2%
Draw
11.1%
15.6%
14.3%
STJ
2.3%
4.8%
23.7%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
5.4%
No
94.6%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.