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2. Bundesliga · MW3 Voith-Arena, Heidenheim an der BrenzRef: Felix Bickel
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

1. FC Heidenheim 5-3 Dynamo Dresden result, stats and report

1. FC Heidenheim
Won · xG 0.60
5 – 3
FT
Lost · xG 1.28
Dynamo Dresden
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: 1. FC Heidenheim v Hannover 96 · Sun 8 Nov · Dynamo Dresden v SpVgg Greuther Fürth · Fri 6 Nov
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

1. FC HeidenheimDynamo Dresden2. Bundesliga

The provider forecast gives Dynamo Dresden win the highest 1X2 probability at 43.4%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

1. FC Heidenheim
33.6%
Draw
23.0%
DRE
43.4%
Both teams to score · Yes
59.2%
Over 2.5 goals
62.0%

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultlost
Double chancelost
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveslost

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

34%
23%
43%
33.6%1. FC Heidenheim
23.0%Draw
43.4%DRE

Both Teams to Score

59%
Yes 59.2%No 40.8%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

62%
Yes 62.0%No 38.0%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
82%
Over 2.5
62%
Over 3.5
41%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
9.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-1
7.2%
1-0
6.5%
0-1
6.3%
2-2
6.2%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates DRE or draw at 58.0%; the most likely half-time state is DRE leading at half-time at 48.9%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 6.1%.

Double Chance

1X
37.0%
12
4.9%
X2
58.0%

Half-Time Result

1. FC Heidenheim
20.0%
Draw
31.1%
DRE
48.9%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
1. FC Heidenheim
Draw
DRE
1. FC Heidenheim
14.2%
4.6%
3.2%
Draw
7.6%
11.1%
12.7%
DRE
1.8%
5.6%
39.3%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
6.1%
No
93.9%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.