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Our model backs Stevenage to win at Broadhall Way on 9 May at 14:00 UTC, assigning the home side a 37% probability; best odds of 2.40 are available at Unibet UK. Stevenage have managed one loss in their last five League One matches with both teams scoring in all five outings, while Stockport County won once in their last five with identical BTTS form. 18+. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
This late-season clash pits sixth-placed Stevenage against third-placed Stockport County on the final day. Stevenage's recent collapse, including that heavy defeat at Bolton, contrasts sharply with Stockport's more stable positioning. League position and momentum favour the visitors, though Stevenage's home record and both sides' tendency to concede suggest an open contest.
Stevenage have won just one of their last five matches, losing 1-5 at Bolton most recently. They've conceded 3 goals in that span while scoring only 1, suggesting defensive fragility. Both teams score in 100% of their recent fixtures. Our model identifies them at sixth in the table with zero clean sheets across this run.
Stockport County sit third after a mixed five-game stretch yielding one win. They've scored 3 goals and conceded 1 across their last five outings. A 3-1 victory at Barnsley stands out; however, losses to Port Vale and Mansfield Town indicate inconsistency. Both teams score in all their recent matches.