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By SportSignals Match Desk · Football analysis desk ·
Southall dominated large portions of this FA Cup tie but were undone in a frantic six-minute spell before half-time, and they never fully recovered. Dorking equalised in the 85th minute to earn a draw they barely deserved on the stats.
Southall dominated large portions of this FA Cup tie but were undone in a frantic six-minute spell before half-time, and they never fully recovered. Dorking equalised in the 85th minute to earn a draw they barely deserved on the stats.
FA CupSun 20 Sept, 15:00
Key Takeaways
Result
Southall and Dorking Wanderers drew 2-2.
Goals
4 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.
First Goal
D
26'⚽
Dawid Rogalski
SportSignals model forecast
Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip
Dorking Wanderers to win
64%Missed
Result
2:2
SOU v DOR
Our model leaned Dorking Wanderers to win at 64%. Southall 2-2 Dorking Wanderers. Forecast did not match the result.
📊 Match recap and data context
Southall and Dorking Wanderers drew 2-2 in the FA Cup, with our model's pick of a Dorking win at 64% probability missing the mark. Rogalski put Dorking ahead in the 26th minute, Scott equalized for Southall four minutes later, then Nikaj restored Dorking's lead in the 32nd. The sides could not be separated after that. Both teams have shown a pattern of conceding in their recent matches, and that tendency held true here. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.
The provider forecast gives Dorking Wanderers win the highest 1X2 probability at 63.6%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.
SOU
18.6%
Draw
17.8%
DOR
63.6%
Both teams to score · Yes
64.6%
Over 2.5 goals
70.8%
Full-time forecast audit: Dorking Wanderers win was the highest probability; the match result was draw.
Forecast result checked ·
Tips record
No Tip was published for this match
No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.
Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle
Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows
6 facts from this result
The final verified live-context record and historical evidence saved before kick-off, kept as separate evidence sets.
For Dorking Wanderers, the final recorded goal situation matched 8 comparable matches from 19 checked matches: 50% win, 50% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
For Southall, the final recorded goal situation matched 20 comparable matches from 23 checked matches: 45% win, 20% draw, 35% loss.Verified final
For Dorking Wanderers, the final recorded sending-off situation matched 8 comparable matches from 19 checked matches: 50% win, 50% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
For Southall, the final recorded sending-off situation matched 20 comparable matches from 23 checked matches: 45% win, 20% draw, 35% loss.Verified final
Captured from live match context at . This is a retained situation record, not a post-match performance claim.
Pre-match historical evidence
Dorking Wanderers scored first in 6 of their last 10 league matches (60%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
Dorking Wanderers have averaged 1.8 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable lifecycle evidence
Immutable lifecycle evidence · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.
Questions about this result
▸What was the final score in Southall vs Dorking Wanderers?