What does this mean?
The model pick is the outcome the model rates most likely based on form, xG, injuries and head to head. The value pick is where the bookmakers' odds look too generous against that probability, so a bet there should return more over the long run.
When the two agree it's a strong signal. When they disagree, the model expects one team to win more often than the odds suggest, so backing the underdog at a long price can still be the better bet even if you don't expect them to win this single match.
Past performance does not guarantee future results. 18+. Please gamble responsibly. begambleaware.org
SC Freiburg vs RB Leipzig: latest news
- Stuttgart's Never-Say-Die Spirit Keeps Champions League Within Reach
VfB Stuttgart's dramatic 3-3 draw at Hoffenheim, featuring two late goals with 10 men, keeps their Champions League hopes alive in a three-way battle with Bayer Leverkusen. Despite facing the toughest remaining fixtures, Stuttgart's remarkable late-game scoring record and mental resilience could prove decisive in securing the lucrative European qualification.
13 May 2026
- Dortmund Pay Β£20 Million for Teenage Defender Gadou in Ole Book's First Major Move
Borussia Dortmund have signed 19-year-old defender Joane Gadou from RB Salzburg for a fee that could exceed Β£20 million, marking new sporting director Ole Book's first major transfer. The deal signals a shift in Dortmund's strategy towards paying premium prices for unproven talent as they seek to close the gap on Bayern Munich.
13 May 2026
- Wolfsburg Seize Control of Bundesliga Relegation Battle After Freiburg Draw
VfL Wolfsburg's 1-1 draw at Freiburg has transformed the Bundesliga relegation battle, lifting them above St. Pauli into the playoff position. With automatic survival now virtually impossible, Dieter Hecking's psychological management and the final-day showdown between the two clubs will determine who faces the relegation playoff.
11 May 2026
- Diego Demme's Hertha Berlin Exit Confirms Another Failed Veteran Gamble
Diego Demme has confirmed his departure from Hertha BSC after two injury-ravaged seasons that saw a devastating head injury derail his career. The former Germany international's exit highlights Hertha's continued struggles with veteran signings as they face another season in the 2. Bundesliga.
10 May 2026
- Manchester United Target Castello Lukeba as Defensive Crisis Deepens
Manchester United have opened talks with RB Leipzig defender Castello Lukeba as they desperately seek defensive reinforcements. The β¬80m-rated French international could be available for β¬50m, but United's scattergun approach to recruitment suggests they've learned nothing from recent failures.
9 May 2026
- Tottenham Set to Lose β¬5 Million on Dragusin After Just 12 Months
Tottenham's β¬25 million signing Radu Dragusin has agreed to join RB Leipzig for β¬20 million after just 12 months at Spurs. The Romanian defender started only five Premier League games despite Tottenham's defensive struggles, highlighting the club's ongoing recruitment failures.
7 May 2026
- Leipzig One Win from Champions League as Orban and Lukeba Return for Leverkusen Showdown
RB Leipzig can secure Champions League qualification with victory at Bayer Leverkusen on Saturday, with captain Willi Orban and key defenders Castello Lukeba and David Raum potentially returning from injury. The Saxons need just one win from their final three matches to achieve their season objective.
6 May 2026
- Stuttgart's Champions League Dream on Life Support as Karazor Ban Leaves Gaping Hole
VfB Stuttgart captain Atakan Karazor will miss the season's final two matches after receiving his first red card in 165 Bundesliga games. The suspension leaves Stuttgart without their defensive anchor for Saturday's crucial Champions League qualification clash against direct rival Bayer Leverkusen, with a potential β¬40 million revenue swing hanging in the balance.
6 May 2026
- Suzuki's World Cup Dream Shattered as Freiburg Star Suffers Season-Ending Injury
Freiburg's Yuito Suzuki faces a desperate race to make his first World Cup after fracturing his collarbone with just 41 days until Japan's tournament opener. The Europa League hero underwent immediate surgery but typically needs 6-8 weeks recovery, leaving his World Cup dream hanging by a thread.
5 May 2026
- Frankfurt Director Refuses to Back Manager Riera After Hamburg Disaster
Eintracht Frankfurt sporting director Markus KrΓΆsche pointedly refused to back manager Albert Riera after a damaging 2-1 home defeat to Hamburg, twice dodging questions about the coach's future. With European qualification hanging by a thread and brutal fixtures against Dortmund and Stuttgart remaining, Riera's position appears untenable.
3 May 2026
- Schalke Seal Bundesliga Return as Karaman Strike Downs DΓΌsseldorf
Schalke 04 secured their return to the Bundesliga after three years with a 1-0 victory over Fortuna DΓΌsseldorf, captain Kenan Karaman scoring the decisive goal. The seven-time German champions complete a remarkable recovery from their catastrophic 2020/21 relegation season, when they managed just three wins in 34 matches.
2 May 2026
- Wolfsburg's Survival Hopes Crumble as Captain Arnold Ruled Out for Season
Wolfsburg's relegation battle suffered a devastating blow as captain Maximilian Arnold was ruled out for the season, including potential playoffs. The 400-game veteran's absence removes the emotional leader who guided Wolfsburg through relegation battles in 2017 and 2018, significantly damaging their survival prospects.
1 May 2026
- John Stones Set for Manchester City Exit After Eight Years
John Stones will leave Manchester City this summer after eight years, ending his transformative stint under Pep Guardiola. The England defender's departure signals a major defensive rebuild at City and could trigger significant movement in the transfer market, with Newcastle and Chelsea among potential suitors.
29 Apr 2026
- FenerbahΓ§e Sack Domenico Tedesco After Three Games as Turkish Pressure Cooker Claims Another Victim
FenerbahΓ§e have sacked Domenico Tedesco after just three winless matches, continuing their destructive cycle of managerial instability. The German-Italian coach becomes the latest European manager to discover that Turkey's biggest clubs offer no patience, only pressure that inevitably leads to rapid dismissal.
28 Apr 2026
- Liverpool's Β£87m Yan Diomande transfer story unravels amid glaring factual errors
A viral report claiming Liverpool are signing RB Leipzig's Yan Diomande for Β£87m contains multiple factual errors, including false claims about Mohamed Salah leaving and a fabricated Hugo Ekitike transfer. The story's glaring inaccuracies raise serious questions about modern transfer speculation and its impact on betting markets.
28 Apr 2026
- Chelsea ready β¬100m bid for Leipzig sensation Diomande as Liverpool and United circle
Chelsea are preparing a β¬100 million bid for RB Leipzig's teenage sensation Yan Diomande, who has scored 13 goals and provided eight assists this season. The 19-year-old winger is also attracting strong interest from Liverpool and Manchester United, setting up a major transfer battle between England's biggest clubs.
27 Apr 2026
- Leipzig Draw β¬100 Million Red Line as Mintzlaff Blocks Diomande Exit
RB Leipzig chairman Oliver Mintzlaff has declared teenage sensation Yan Diomande will not be sold this summer, regardless of offers exceeding β¬100 million. The 19-year-old winger, who has contributed 20 goals and assists in 30 Bundesliga matches, has attracted interest from PSG, Manchester City and Liverpool.
26 Apr 2026
- Frank Schmidt to Leave Heidenheim After 20 Years as German Football's Miracle Worker Faces Relegation
Frank Schmidt will end his remarkable 20-year tenure at Heidenheim in 2027, announcing his departure as the club faces relegation. The Bundesliga's longest-serving manager, who led the club from Germany's fifth tier to European football, refuses to abandon ship despite their dire situation.
25 Apr 2026
- Tiago TomΓ‘s Backheel Sends Stuttgart to First DFB-Pokal Final Since 2013
Tiago TomΓ‘s's spectacular 119th-minute backheel goal sent Stuttgart to their first DFB-Pokal final since 2013, completing a remarkable cup journey for the Bundesliga strugglers. The Portuguese forward's moment of magic epitomises the unpredictability of knockout football, transforming a fringe player into an unlikely hero when it mattered most.
24 Apr 2026
- Union Berlin Turn to Marie-Louise Eta in Desperate Relegation Fight
Union Berlin have made Marie-Louise Eta the first woman to manage a men's team in Europe's major leagues, turning to their U19 coach in a desperate bid to avoid relegation. The appointment, made via a Saturday night phone call after sacking Steffen Baumgart, represents both groundbreaking progress and brutal pragmatism from a club that has won just twice in 15 games.
23 Apr 2026


