Salzburg vs Sturm Graz

Austrian BundesligaFull time · 3 May 2026
Salzburg

Salzburg

Drew · xG 1.86LLDLWLast 5
Full time
1 — 1
90+4'
Yorbe Vertessen 22' · Axel Kayombo 90'

Sturm Graz

Drew · xG 1.13WWWDDLast 5
Sturm Graz
PRESSURE INDEX · FINAL▲ STU · last goal · 90'
45
55
RBS · 1.86 xG1.13 xG · STU

Post-match recap

AI-written

Salzburg drew 1-1 with Sturm Graz in the Austrian Bundesliga. Our model favored a Salzburg win at 49 percent probability, a pick that did not land. Both teams found the net, consistent with Salzburg's recent form; the hosts had won three of their last five matches but could not break through despite their attacking record. Sturm Graz remained unbeaten in their last five outings and earned a point on the road. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

The stalemate saw Sturm Graz maintain their league-leading position with a point, while Salzburg remained third, now four points adrift. Our AI engine flagged this as a missed opportunity for the hosts to close the gap; instead, the draw reinforced Sturm's resilience at the summit. Both sides' inability to secure three points kept the title race competitive but static.

Salzburg drew 1-1 at home, extending their inconsistent run to one win, one loss across five matches. They scored once but conceded again, maintaining a 0% clean sheet rate over the period. The result aligned with their volatile form; our model suggested they needed a win to sustain third-place momentum, yet they failed to break down a resolute Sturm side despite creating chances.

Sturm Graz held firm for a 1-1 draw, their fourth consecutive match without defeat. Both teams scored, fitting their 100% both-teams-to-score trend. With an xG of 2.00, Sturm showed attacking threat but struggled to convert dominance into victory. The draw extended their unbeaten streak to five games, though their two-draw sequence suggests they are grinding rather than winning.