Radomiak Radom vs Wieczysta Kraków
Polish EkstraklasaFull time · 24 Jul 2026
LLWLLLast 5
Full time
2 — 1
90+4'
⚽ unknown 43' · ⚽ unknown 49' · ⚽ unknown 57'
LostLLLast 5
PRESSURE INDEX · FINAL▲ Wieczysta Krakó · last goal · 57'
41
59
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Sophie Hargreaves · 26 July 2026
The scoreline tells you Radomiak Radom won. The statistics tell you Wieczysta Kraków should have made more of what they had. The detail in between those two facts is where this match is really worth examining.
Radomiak set up with 42% possession, which is exactly where their game plan was designed to sit. Watch this over the course of their recent home form and you will see the same pattern: they are not a team that wants the ball for its own sake. They want the ball in the right moments, in the right areas. Their 59% successful dribble rate in this match tells you they were creating forward movement with purpose, not just recycling possession. Ten successful dribbles from 17 attempts is a number that reflects a team playing with clear forward triggers rather than sideways traffic.
Wieczysta, by contrast, had 58% of the ball, 501 passes, and an 88% pass completion rate. Those are tidy numbers. The problem is that tidiness is not the same as threat. They managed just one key pass across the entire ninety minutes. One. For a side that circulated the ball with that kind of volume, the absence of penetrative passing is a coaching issue. The structure of their build-up did not create the reference points their forwards needed to work from.
The early minutes of this match were scrappy in a way that told you something about Wieczysta's preparation for the away fixture. Two yellow cards in the opening eight minutes, both for fouls, suggested they arrived without a settled defensive shape. When a team is fouling that frequently that early, it usually means they are chasing the game positionally, reacting rather than reading the structure in front of them.
Radomiak were not immune. They picked up cards of their own in the 24th and 28th minutes, and the match was in danger of becoming fragmented. A VAR check at the 31st minute added another interruption, and Wieczysta made a tactical substitution at 33 minutes, which is early enough to suggest something had gone wrong with their original plan.
The goal that arrived on 43 minutes, a left-foot finish for Radomiak, came at a moment when Wieczysta were managing multiple disruptions: a red card accumulation building, a substitution made under pressure, and a VAR review that had broken their rhythm. That is the kind of detail that gets overlooked when people focus on the goal itself rather than the context around it.
The most important passage of play in this fixture happened between the 43rd and 49th minutes. Radomiak scored just before half-time, then added a second right at the start of the second half, a right-foot finish on 49 minutes. Six minutes of football, two goals, and a structural problem Wieczysta simply could not recover from.
This is a pattern worth filing away. Radomiak's home form shows a BTTS percentage of 100% across their last five home matches, which means they have consistently conceded. But they have also consistently found ways to score enough. The two goals here came from eight shots inside the box, against only six for Wieczysta. The home side was more precise in where they placed their shots, even if they had fewer dangerous attacks overall.
Wieczysta's response came on 57 minutes, a right-foot finish that brought it back to 2-1. The goal was assisted, notably, by the same player who had been booked on 39 minutes and who was then substituted off at 67 minutes alongside another card for a different Wieczysta player. That sequence reflects an afternoon where discipline and game management were consistently below where they needed to be.
The thing nobody is talking about from this match is the crossing data. Wieczysta attempted 18 crosses and found a teammate with three of them, a 17% accuracy rate. Radomiak attempted 14 crosses and found a teammate with six, a 43% accuracy rate. That is a significant difference in how each team was delivering into the box from wide areas.
For Wieczysta, who had more possession and more territory, generating only three accurate crosses from 18 attempts means their wide play was not functioning as a proper attacking mechanism. It was generating volume without precision. That is a coaching issue around the delivery trigger, specifically around when to cross rather than how often. Radomiak, with less possession, were waiting for the right moment and finding their targets at a much higher rate.
Wieczysta finished with six yellow cards, one yellow-red, and one red card across the match. That is an extraordinary disciplinary record for a single fixture. Five blocked shots against them tells you Radomiak's defensive structure was organised and committed, but nine goal kicks for the home side also tells you Wieczysta were getting into threatening positions regularly enough. They hit the woodwork once. They created two big chances. They missed one big chance. The raw material was not entirely absent.
The problem is conversion, and underneath that, the problem is the pattern of pressure they applied was not clean enough to produce clean chances. Thirteen shots, three on target, one goal. A 20% dribble success rate compared to Radomiak's 59% tells the sharpest story. When you have the ball as much as Wieczysta did and you are losing individual battles in advanced areas at that rate, the ball is not really doing what you need it to do.
This was a composed home performance from Radomiak. They did not clean sheet, which continues a pattern from their home form data, but they managed the game well enough from a position of strength. Their dribble threat was consistent, their crossing was purposeful, and they scored on both sides of half-time at exactly the moment when Wieczysta were most vulnerable to conceding.
The positive momentum slope in their home data is a small indicator but it points in the right direction. They will face better-organised opponents than this Wieczysta side showed itself to be on Friday afternoon, but the preparation and structure they showed here provides a sound foundation to work from.
Edge · SportSignals+
Closing-line value and settled EV for every pick in this match.
Open SportSignals+Correct means the selection settled as won on the 90-minute result. Every selection counted here was recorded before kickoff. Past performance does not guarantee future results.