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Portugal and Congo DR played to a 1-1 draw in World Cup 2026 qualifying. Our model favoured Portugal at 61% probability, but the pick missed as the sides shared the spoils. Both teams found the net, extending Congo DR's recent run of both-teams-scoring matches while Portugal managed only their second result without a loss across five outings. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
The draw leaves Portugal in second position but drops points in a tight qualifying race. Congo DR moved to third with a credible result that suggests competitive improvement. Portugal's failure to convert dominance into three points represents a minor setback; their goal difference remains strong at plus-5 across recent matches. Congo DR's defensive resilience offers a platform for future qualification hopes.
Portugal drew 1-1 at home, failing to build on their 5-0 win over Uzbekistan. The hosts conceded early and could not find a second goal despite dominating possession. Their last five matches showed one win and one draw; this result halted momentum in a qualifying campaign where they had scored 6 goals in recent outings. Clean sheet percentage fell to 50 percent.
Congo DR secured an unexpected 1-1 draw away in Lisbon, extending their unbeaten run to one match. The visitors matched Portugal's intensity and capitalized on defensive lapses to equalize. Their BTTS percentage reached 100 percent across recent fixtures; they have now conceded only one goal in two matches despite lacking a win in their last five outings.