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By SportSignals Match Desk · Football analysis desk ·
Portsmouth came from behind to beat ten-man Sheffield Utd 3-2 at Fratton Park, with Hamza Dewan Choudhury's second-half red card proving the decisive moment in a chaotic Championship encounter.
Portsmouth came from behind to beat ten-man Sheffield Utd 3-2 at Fratton Park, with Hamza Dewan Choudhury's second-half red card proving the decisive moment in a chaotic Championship encounter.
EFL ChampionshipWed 14 Oct, 19:45
Key Takeaways
Result
Portsmouth beat Sheffield Utd 3-2 at home.
Goals
5 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.
Chance quality
The chances backed the result: Portsmouth 2.33 to Sheffield Utd 1.57 on expected goals.
First Goal
Z
41'⚽
Zak Swanson
Game Flow
Expected Goals (xG)
Portsmouth 2.33 xGSheffield Utd 1.57 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
SportSignals model forecast
Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip
Sheffield Utd to win
38%Missed
Result
3:2
Portsmouth v Sheffield Utd
Our model leaned Sheffield Utd to win at 38%. Portsmouth 3-2 Sheffield Utd. Forecast did not match the result.
📊 Match recap and data context
Portsmouth beat Sheffield United 3-2 at Fratton Park in a Championship match where our model backed the visitors at 38 percent probability; the pick missed. Zak Swanson opened the scoring in the 41st minute, and Portsmouth extended their lead through Adrian Segečić in the 54th after Hamza Dewan Choudhury's red card for Sheffield United in the 44th. Both sides found the net in a fixture that continued Portsmouth's pattern of both teams scoring in their recent fixtures. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.
The provider forecast gives Sheffield Utd win the highest 1X2 probability at 37.8%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.
Portsmouth
36.1%
Draw
26.1%
Sheffield Utd
37.8%
Both teams to score · Yes
57.3%
Over 2.5 goals
53.0%
Full-time forecast audit: Sheffield Utd win was the highest probability; the match result was Portsmouth win.
Forecast result checked ·
Tips record
No Tip was published for this match
No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.
Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle
Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows
10 facts from this result
The final verified live-context record and historical evidence saved before kick-off, kept as separate evidence sets.