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Portsmouth vs Derby kicks off UK time in the EFL Championship. Our model's pick is Both teams to score at a 53.8% modelled probability.
Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.
Portsmouth vs Derby kicks off UK time in the EFL Championship. The match is at Fratton Park, Portsmouth. Our model's pick is Both teams to score at a 53.8% modelled probability. These sides have met once in the fixtures we hold, and Derby won it.
Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.
Provider prediction · not a Tip
The provider forecast gives Portsmouth win the highest 1X2 probability at 38.4%. The Tip publication window remains open; no Tip is recorded yet, so no no-Tip decision is inferred.
Provider forecast checked ·
| Measure | Portsmouth | Derby |
|---|---|---|
| Goals / game | 1.67 | 1.33 |
| Conceded / game | 1.83 | 2.17 |
| xG / game | 1.22 | 1.18 |
| xG conceded / game | 1.8 | 2.08 |
Portsmouth host Derby at Fratton Park on September 1st at 18:45 UTC in the EFL Championship. Portsmouth have won three of their last five matches and both teams have shown a strong tendency to produce goals; Derby, however, arrive winless in their last five outings. The head-to-head record favours Derby from their sole recent meeting. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.
Portsmouth v Derby · EFL Championship ·
More from this competition: EFL Championship predictions · EFL Championship odds
Correct means the selection settled as won on the 90-minute result. Every selection counted here was recorded before kickoff. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Useful historical patterns from SportMonks, with the evidence window stated in each claim.
Latest pre-match snapshot · Scope: league matches · Source: SportMonks Match Facts · snapshot . Match Facts feed current. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Goalsoutlined xG · xG available for 5 of 6
| Match | Result | Goals | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | L | 1 | 1.53 |
| 2 | W | 3 | 1.38 |
| 3 | L | 1 | 1.02 |
| 4 | L | 1 | 0.98 |
| 5 | D | 1 | Unavailable |
| 6 | W | 3 | 1.22 |
Goalsoutlined xG · xG available for 5 of 6
| Match | Result | Goals | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | L | 0 | 0.82 |
| 2 | D | 2 | 1.81 |
| 3 | L | 1 | 1.48 |
| 4 | L | 1 | 0.75 |
| 5 | L | 1 | Unavailable |
| 6 | W | 3 | 1.06 |
Watch & follow
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Published Match Preview
By Elena Santos · ·
Portsmouth host Derby at Fratton Park on Tuesday 1 September 2026, and this early-season Championship fixture already carries more weight than the calendar might suggest. Both clubs arrive with something to prove, and the numbers tell an interesting story.
Read the full match preview →The pre-match publication window is still open. No Tip has been recorded yet, so this is not a no-Tip decision.
Latest possible publication cutoff · kickoff 1 Sept, 19:45 BST
18+ · Information, not advice · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware.org
