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Serie A · MW12 Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma

From kick-off: live commentary, stats, momentum and in-play prices from bet365.

Parma vs AS Roma prediction, odds and how to watch

Kickoff
21 Nov
Parma 19%Draw 25%AS Roma 56%
Kickoff and the final result. Lineups and goals are one switch more.
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Should you back Parma or AS Roma?

Parma vs AS Roma kicks off UK time in Serie A. The match is at Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma. Our model's pick is Both teams to score — No at a 54.3% modelled probability. These sides have met once in the fixtures we hold, and AS Roma won it.

Match intelligence · not a tip

AS Roma has the highest forecast probability · Under 2.5 goals is more likely

Match-result model updated
Match-result probability · model
Parma18.8%
Draw25.1%
AS Roma56.2%
BTTS yes46.1%

Updated

Over 2.545.5%

Updated

Head to head · last 6Full H2H →

No recorded meetings between these two sides yet.

Provider forecast · Prediction tab · Methodology

Match facts before kick-off

No approved historical Match Facts are available for this fixture. Nothing is inferred from missing provider coverage.

Match Facts feed warming up

Form & xG · last 6 games

Rolling across all competitions
6.4
xG for
5▼ -1.4
Goals
13.8
xGA
Last 6 matchesunder-performing xG
15.6
xG for
21▲ +5.4
Goals
8.4
xGA
Last 6 matchesover-performing xG
ParmaNewest first

Goalsoutlined xG

Parma recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
MatchResultGoalsxG
1L11.55
2W30.46
3D01.17
4L10.79
5L02.03
6L00.40
AS RomaNewest first

Goalsoutlined xG

AS Roma recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
MatchResultGoalsxG
1W33.15
2L21.28
3W52.22
4W43.00
5D31.89
6W44.04
AS Roma have taken more points than their chances were worth: 13 points against 11.6 expected.Expected points reruns each match from its chances alone.
Parma generated 6.4 xG across their last 6 matches and scored 5, 1.4 below that chance total. AS Roma generated 15.6 xG across their last 6 matches and scored 21, 5.4 above that chance total.

Team comparison · recent form

Parma: 6 matches · AS Roma: 6
Recent team comparison. Parma sample 6; AS Roma sample 6.
MeasureParmaAS Roma
Goals / game0.833.5
Conceded / game1.671.67
xG / game1.072.6
xG conceded / game2.31.4
Historical context, not stats from this fixture. xG coverage: 6 and 6 matches.Full team comparison
How to watch

How to watch Parma v AS Roma

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Match information remains available while viewing options resolve privately.

Lineups

Probable XIs

Probable · confirmed ~16:00
Parma11 starters
40Corvi
30Daffara
34Carlos
17Drobnic
14Sierro
80Fabbian
AS Roma11 starters
95Gollini
22Hermoso
43Wesley
5Ndicka
23Mancini
5Balerdi
15Roon
4Cristante
18Soulé
14Malen
Out / doubtful
🩹 Nesta Elphege injury · 🩹 Dominik Drobnic injury · 🩹 Adrián Bernabé injury · 🩹 Mile Svilar injury · 🩹 Lorenzo Pellegrini injury · 🩹 Devyne Rensch injury · 🩹 Manu Koné injury · 🩹 Paulo Dybala injury · 🩹 Pierluigi Gollini injury · 🩹 Gianluca Mancini injury
Changes
Most-frequent starters over the last 11 matches. Confirmed teams land about an hour before kickoff, and any change from this XI appears here.

Every linked name opens the player page · Full lineups and injuries →

📊 Match preview and data context

No AI summary available yet for this fixture.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Parma v AS Roma · Serie A ·

More from this competition: Serie A predictions · Serie A odds

Questions about this match

  • When and where is Parma vs AS Roma?
    Parma vs AS Roma takes place on Saturday 21 November at 17:00 (UK time) in the Serie A at Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma.
  • Who is the model backing in Parma vs AS Roma?
    Our model's pick is Both teams to score — No (btts), with around 54% confidence. No current price passed the integrity check. 18+. Predictions are informational, not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. begambleaware.org.
  • What is the head-to-head record between Parma and AS Roma?
    In their last 1 meetings, Parma won 0, AS Roma won 1, with 0 draws. Both teams scored in 1 of those 1.
  • How can I watch Parma vs AS Roma?
    Check your local official broadcaster or rights-holder for Serie A coverage in your region. SportSignals does not stream matches.
  • Are SportSignals predictions for Parma vs AS Roma free?
    Yes. The model's predictions, odds comparison, stats and head-to-head for Parma vs AS Roma are free to read. 18+. Predictions are informational, not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. begambleaware.org.
Tips record

Tip decision pending

The pre-match publication window is still open. No Tip has been recorded yet, so this is not a no-Tip decision.

Latest possible publication cutoff · kickoff 21 Nov, 17:00 GMT

No alternative Tips are published right now

The public ledger and methodology remain available, and you can follow this fixture for the next verified match update.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.