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New England defeated Philadelphia Union 2-1 in MLS action. Our model favored a New England win at 42 percent probability, and the pick landed. Both sides had matched form coming in, each posting one win, one draw and three losses across their last five matches. Both teams had also registered both-teams-to-score in 80 percent of recent outings, a trend that held true on the day. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
The result handed New England a second successive victory over Philadelphia and reinforced their position in the upper half. Philadelphia's loss deepened their struggles in mid-table; they remain 13 positions below New England. Both teams showed attacking intent with 80% BTTS frequency, but New England's clinical finishing proved decisive. The gap between second and 15th widened further.
New England won 2-1 at home, extending their recent upturn after a difficult stretch. The Revs scored twice despite conceding again; their last five matches show one win, one draw, three losses, though they had won their previous meeting with Philadelphia 2-1. Both sides registered BTTS in 80% of recent fixtures. New England remain in second position with 5 goals for and 9 against across the sample period.
Philadelphia Union lost 1-2 away, continuing their inconsistent run of one win, one draw, three losses over five matches. The Union generated 6.00 xG but failed to convert sufficiently; they conceded twice from a side with zero clean sheets in recent outings. Philadelphia sit 15th in the league, having scored 7 and conceded 11 goals in their recent sample.