Skip to main content
Live
✦ SportSignals+ just now
Value SmartBetsNEW Props Predictions Live My Bets Alerts
Serie A · MW8 Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, NapoliRef: Andrea Colombo

From kick-off: live commentary, stats, momentum and in-play prices from bet365.

Napoli vs AS Roma prediction, odds and how to watch

Kicks off in
19h 5m
Napoli 43%Draw 26%AS Roma 31%
Kickoff and the final result. Lineups and goals are one switch more.
Skip match sections

Should you back Napoli or AS Roma?

Napoli vs AS Roma kicks off UK time in Serie A. The match is at Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, Napoli. Our model's pick is Both teams to score at a 57.4% modelled probability.

Match intelligence · not a tip

Napoli has the highest forecast probability · Over 2.5 goals is more likely

Match-result model updated
Match-result probability · model
Napoli43.1%
Draw25.7%
AS Roma31.2%
BTTS yes57.4%

Updated

Over 2.555.6%

Updated

Head to head · last 6Full H2H →

No recorded meetings between these two sides yet.

Provider forecast · Prediction tab · Methodology

Match facts

Match facts before kick-off

Head-to-head evidence
  • 1-0is the most common scoreline between Napoli and AS Roma, landing 4 times across 26 league meetings on record.Latest pre-match snapshot
  • 12/26recorded league meetings saw both teams score (46.1%).Latest pre-match snapshot
  • 43league matches at home unbeaten for Napoli.Latest pre-match snapshot
  • 6league matches away from home unbeaten for AS Roma.Latest pre-match snapshot
  • Napoli scored first in 7 of their last 10 league matches (70%).Latest pre-match snapshot
  • AS Roma scored first in 8 of their last 10 league matches (80%).Latest pre-match snapshot
  • Napoli have averaged 1.6 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Latest pre-match snapshot
  • AS Roma have averaged 2.3 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Latest pre-match snapshot
  • Kevin De Bruyne has the highest listed average xGOT for Napoli at 0.67 across the provider's evidence window.Latest pre-match snapshot
  • Donyell Malen has the highest listed average xGOT for AS Roma at 0.86 across the provider's evidence window.Latest pre-match snapshot
Swipe or use arrows · 1 of 10

Useful historical patterns from our match facts feed, with the evidence window stated in each claim.Source: match facts feed · · Scope: league matches

Match Facts feed current.

Form & xG · last 6 games

Rolling across all competitions
13.0
xG for
10▼ -3.0
Goals
7.4
xGA
Last 6 matchesunder-performing xG
11.6
xG for
13▲ +1.4
Goals
7.1
xGA
Last 6 matchesover-performing xG
NapoliNewest first

Goalsoutlined xG

Napoli recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
MatchResultGoalsxG
1W41.68
2L02.40
3L12.18
4W33.36
5D11.43
6W11.92
AS RomaNewest first

Goalsoutlined xG

AS Roma recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
MatchResultGoalsxG
1W44.04
2W21.66
3L31.34
4D00.78
5D21.74
6W22.07
Napoli have taken fewer points than their chances were worth: 10 points against 11.6 expected.Expected points reruns each match from its chances alone.
Napoli generated 13.0 xG across their last 6 matches and scored 10, 3.0 below that chance total. AS Roma generated 11.6 xG across their last 6 matches and scored 13, 1.4 above that chance total.

Team comparison · recent form

Napoli: 6 matches · AS Roma: 6
Recent team comparison. Napoli sample 6; AS Roma sample 6.
MeasureNapoliAS Roma
Goals / game1.672.17
Conceded / game1.331
xG / game2.171.93
xG conceded / game1.231.18
Historical context, not stats from this fixture. xG coverage: 6 and 6 matches.Full team comparison
How to watch

How to watch Napoli v AS Roma

Checking listings for your country…

Match information remains available while viewing options resolve privately.

Lineups

Probable XIs

Probable · confirmed ~16:00
Napoli11 starters
1Meret
22Lorenzo
13Rrahmani
3Gutiérrez
37Spinazzola
68Lobotka
11Bruyne
6Gilmour
20Elmas
19Højlund
21Politano
AS Roma11 starters
22Hermoso
19Çelik
43Wesley
23Mancini
5Ndicka
8Aynaoui
17Koné
4Cristante
14Malendoubt
21Dybala
18Soulé
Out / doubtful
🩹 Alessandro Buongiorno injury · 🩹 Mathías Olivera injury · 🩹 David Neres injury · 🩹 Antonio Vergara injury · 🩹 Mile Svilar injury · 🩹 Bryan Cristante injury · 🩹 Lorenzo Pellegrini injury · 🩹 Paulo Dybala injury · 🩹 Manu Koné injury · ❓ Donyell Malen suspended
Changes
Most-frequent starters over the last 11 matches. Confirmed teams land about an hour before kickoff, and any change from this XI appears here.

Every linked name opens the player page · Full lineups and injuries →

📊 Match preview and data context

No AI summary available yet for this fixture.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Napoli v AS Roma · Serie A ·

More from this competition: Serie A predictions · Serie A odds

Questions about this match

  • When and where is Napoli vs AS Roma?
    Napoli vs AS Roma takes place on Saturday 24 October at 17:00 (UK time) in the Serie A at Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, Napoli.
  • Who is the model backing in Napoli vs AS Roma?
    Our model's pick is Both teams to score (btts), with around 57% confidence. No current price passed the integrity check. 18+. Predictions are informational, not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. begambleaware.org.
  • How can I watch Napoli vs AS Roma?
    Check your local official broadcaster or rights-holder for Serie A coverage in your region. SportSignals does not stream matches.
  • Are SportSignals predictions for Napoli vs AS Roma free?
    Yes. The model's predictions, odds comparison, stats and head-to-head for Napoli vs AS Roma are free to read. 18+. Predictions are informational, not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. begambleaware.org.
Tips record

Tip decision pending

The pre-match publication window is still open. No Tip has been recorded yet, so this is not a no-Tip decision.

Latest possible publication cutoff · kickoff 24 Oct, 17:00 BST

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.