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Ligue 1 · MW8 Stade Louis-II, Monaco

From kick-off: live commentary, stats and in-play prices. No momentum for this competition.

Monaco vs Lille prediction, odds and how to watch

Monaco
Monaco
Kickoff
25 Oct
Monaco 44%Draw 23%Lille 32%
Lille
Lille
Kickoff and the final result. Lineups and goals are one switch more.
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Should you back Monaco or Lille?

Monaco vs Lille kicks off UK time in Ligue 1. The match is at Stade Louis-II, Monaco. Our model's pick is Both teams to score at a 63% modelled probability. These sides have met once in the fixtures we hold, and Lille won it.

Match intelligence · not a tip

Monaco has the highest forecast probability · Over 2.5 goals is more likely

Match-result model updated
Match-result probability · model
Monaco44.3%
Draw23.3%
Lille32.4%
BTTS yes63.0%

Updated

Over 2.562.7%

Updated

Head to head · last 6Full H2H →

No recorded meetings between these two sides yet.

Provider forecast · Prediction tab · Methodology

Match facts before kick-off

No approved historical Match Facts are available for this fixture. Nothing is inferred from missing provider coverage.

Match Facts feed warming up

Form & xG · last 6 games

Rolling across all competitions
MonacoMonaco
6.9
xG for
13▲ +6.1
Goals
8.3
xGA
Last 6 matchesover-performing xG
LilleLille
6.5
xG for
9▲ +2.5
Goals
8.5
xGA
Last 6 matchesover-performing xG
MonacoNewest first

Goalsoutlined xG

Monaco recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
MatchResultGoalsxG
1D21.27
2W21.33
3D11.21
4W20.06
5W21.14
6W41.86
LilleNewest first

Goalsoutlined xG

Lille recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
MatchResultGoalsxG
1W10.75
2L11.56
3W21.47
4L20.97
5W11.03
6D20.72
Monaco have taken more points than their chances were worth: 14 points against 7.3 expected. Lille have taken more points than their chances were worth: 10 points against 7.2 expected.Expected points reruns each match from its chances alone.
Monaco generated 6.9 xG across their last 6 matches and scored 13, 6.1 above that chance total. Lille generated 6.5 xG across their last 6 matches and scored 9, 2.5 above that chance total.

Team comparison · recent form

Monaco: 6 matches · Lille: 6
Recent team comparison. Monaco sample 6; Lille sample 6.
MeasureMonacoLille
Goals / game2.171.5
Conceded / game11.17
xG / game1.151.08
xG conceded / game1.381.42
Historical context, not stats from this fixture. xG coverage: 6 and 6 matches.Full team comparison
How to watch

How to watch Monaco v Lille

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Lineups

Probable XIs

Probable · confirmed ~13:00
MonacoLille
Monaco11 starters
1Hradecky
3Dier
2Vanderson
12Henrique
15Camara
6Zakaria
10Golovin
17Idumbo
28Coulibaly
29Brunnerdoubt
11Akliouche
Lille11 starters
1Özer
18Mbemba
4Alexsandro
22Santos
3Ngoy
12Meunier
15Perraud
6Bentaleb
10Haraldsson
27Correia
8Mbappé
Out / doubtful
🩹 J. Teze injury · 🩹 Denis Zakaria injury · ❓ Paris Brunner suspended · 🩹 Ansu Fati injury · 🩹 Aleksandr Golovin injury
Changes
Most-frequent starters over the last 11 matches. Confirmed teams land about an hour before kickoff, and any change from this XI appears here.

Every linked name opens the player page · Full lineups and injuries →

📊 Match preview and data context

No AI summary available yet for this fixture.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Monaco v Lille · Ligue 1 ·

More from this competition: Ligue 1 predictions · Ligue 1 odds

Questions about this match

  • When and where is Monaco vs Lille?
    Monaco vs Lille takes place on Sunday 25 October at 14:00 (UK time) in the Ligue 1 at Stade Louis-II, Monaco.
  • Who is the model backing in Monaco vs Lille?
    Our model's pick is Both teams to score (btts), with around 63% confidence. No current price passed the integrity check. 18+. Predictions are informational, not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. begambleaware.org.
  • What is the head-to-head record between Monaco and Lille?
    In their last 1 meetings, Monaco won 0, Lille won 1, with 0 draws. Both teams scored in 0 of those 1.
  • How can I watch Monaco vs Lille?
    Check your local official broadcaster or rights-holder for Ligue 1 coverage in your region. SportSignals does not stream matches.
  • Are SportSignals predictions for Monaco vs Lille free?
    Yes. The model's predictions, odds comparison, stats and head-to-head for Monaco vs Lille are free to read. 18+. Predictions are informational, not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. begambleaware.org.
Tips record

Tip decision pending

The pre-match publication window is still open. No Tip has been recorded yet, so this is not a no-Tip decision.

Latest possible publication cutoff · kickoff 25 Oct, 14:00 GMT

Other qualifying Tips

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Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.