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Norway dispatched Iraq 4-1 in World Cup 2026 qualifying, with our model's 63% pick for a Norway win landing cleanly. Both sides had shown perfect both-teams-to-score records in their previous five matches, and that pattern held as Iraq found the net despite the heavy defeat. Norway's attacking efficiency proved decisive in a one-sided contest that unfolded largely as expected. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Norway moved to 2nd position with the win, pulling clear in the qualification race. Iraq remain 4th with no points from their last two matches, now 6 points adrift of Norway. The gap between the sides widened considerably; our model rated Iraq's defensive setup as vulnerable before kick-off, and the scoreline bore that assessment out.
Iraq conceded 4 goals at home, extending a difficult run without a win across their last 5 matches. They managed 1 goal but could not contain Norway's attack; their clean sheet percentage of 0% reflects defensive fragility. The 1-4 defeat followed a 0-3 loss to France, confirming a troubling pattern of heavy defeats in this qualifying cycle.