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By SportSignals Match Desk · Football analysis desk ·
Neco Williams gave Ipswich the lead at Portman Road but Julio Enciso's first-half leveller earned Nottingham Forest a point, as Ipswich squandered three big chances and Forest rode their luck.
Neco Williams gave Ipswich the lead at Portman Road but Julio Enciso's first-half leveller earned Nottingham Forest a point, as Ipswich squandered three big chances and Forest rode their luck.
Premier LeagueFri 23 Oct, 20:00
Key Takeaways
Result
Ipswich and Nottingham Forest drew 1-1.
Goals
Two goals kept the match under the 2.5 line.
First Goal
N
13'⚽
Neco Williams
DAssist: Daniel Muñoz
Game Flow
Expected Goals (xG)
Ipswich 0.64 xGNottingham Forest 2.47 xG
Cumulative · measured from in-play shots
Pressure Index
IpswichNottingham Forest
Per-minute · from in-play data
Sampled every minute from in-play data. Higher values reflect the side dominating possession, shots, and corners.
SportSignals model forecast
Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip
Nottingham Forest to win
39%Missed
Result
1:1
Ipswich v Nottingham Forest
Our model leaned Nottingham Forest to win at 39%. Ipswich 1-1 Nottingham Forest. Forecast did not match the result.
📊 Match recap and data context
Ipswich and Nottingham Forest drew 1-1 at Portman Road. Neco Williams put Forest ahead in the 13th minute, but Julio Enciso levelled for Ipswich before half-time. Our model favoured a Forest win at 39% probability, which did not land. Both sides found the net, consistent with Ipswich's recent 40% both-teams-to-score rate and Forest's 50% over their last five outings. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.
The provider forecast gives Nottingham Forest win the highest 1X2 probability at 38.8%. A separately qualified SportSignals Tip has an official settlement record for this fixture.
Ipswich
34.1%
Draw
27.1%
Nottingham Forest
38.8%
Both teams to score · Yes
53.7%
Over 2.5 goals
50.3%
Full-time forecast audit: Nottingham Forest win was the highest probability; the match result was draw.
Forecast result checked ·
Tip record · publication ledgerProof it was published before kickoffImmutable
✦ TIP
SportSignals Tip settlements
Official terminal ledger · each row keeps its exact result
Premier League· published 04:00won
Over 1.5 goals
Logged at 1.22 with Coral
Coral offered 1.22 when we checked at 01:05 on 23 Oct.
Premier League· published 03:55lost
Over 2.5 goals
GROSLogged at 1.74 with Grosvenor
Grosvenor offered 1.74 when we checked at 01:05 on 23 Oct.
Premier League· published 03:55lost
Nottingham Forest to win
Logged at 2.30 with Betfair Sportsbook
Betfair Sportsbook offered 2.30 when we checked at 21:05 on 22 Oct.
Publication provenance
Immutable Tips ledger · record f0608fd8-5385-4369-a6c2-3ea1cf1f7ca0 · model publication version not recorded
Immutable Tips ledger · record 5b2bb940-151c-4094-8769-fffe5bc20c14 · model publication version not recorded
Immutable Tips ledger · record d0fa5f35-6d96-47ba-88ed-7570f76e455b · model publication version not recorded
Source: immutable SportSignals Tips publication ledger. Provider predictions and market prices are separate records and never create a Tip or a settlement result.
Match facts · what the record shows
10 facts from this result
The final verified live-context record and historical evidence saved before kick-off, kept as separate evidence sets.
For Nottingham Forest, the final recorded goal situation matched 7 comparable matches from 24 checked matches: 0% win, 100% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
For Nottingham Forest, the final recorded goal situation matched 25 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 0% win, 100% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
For Ipswich, the final recorded goal situation matched 7 comparable matches from 24 checked matches: 0% win, 100% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
For Ipswich, the final recorded goal situation matched 10 comparable matches from 45 checked matches: 0% win, 100% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
Captured from live match context at . This is a retained situation record, not a post-match performance claim.
Pre-match historical evidence
1-0is the most common scoreline between Ipswich and Nottingham Forest, landing once across 2 league meetings on record.Immutable lifecycle evidence
1/2recorded league meetings saw both teams score (50%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
Ipswich scored first in 2 of their last 10 league matches (20%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
Nottingham Forest scored first in 4 of their last 10 league matches (40%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
Ipswich have averaged 1.2 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable lifecycle evidence
Nottingham Forest have averaged 0.9 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable lifecycle evidence
Immutable lifecycle evidence · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.
Questions about this result
▸What was the final score in Ipswich vs Nottingham Forest?
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Around the match
What the clubs said
ReportedNewsJames McAtee was racing through for Nottingham Forest before Issa Diop came across him and took the player out. The defender was not initially…
@TheAthleticFCOpen on XClip unavailable here, open it on X.
ReportedNewsJames McAtee was racing through for Nottingham Forest before Issa Diop came across him and took the player out. The defender was not initially…
@TheAthleticFCOpen on XClip unavailable here, open it on X.
OfficialTeam newsNikola back into the XI. 🇷🇸
@NFFCOpen on XClip unavailable here, open it on X.