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Scottish Premiership · MW5Ref: Don Robertson
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Hibernian 1-3 Hearts result, stats and report

Hibernian
Lost · xG 1.33
1 – 3
FT
Won · xG 1.13
Hearts
Next: Hibernian v Falkirk · Sat 17 Oct · Hearts v Nordsjælland · Thu 15 Oct
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Hibernian vs Hearts: what we can confirm

Hibernian vs Hearts has finished in the Scottish Premiership. Played UK time.

How it played out

HEA won it 3–1

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Provider final · 07:55 · archive check in progressFull stats

The completed-match archive is not published yet. Current match rows are not substituted into it while verification is pending.

📊 Match recap and data context

Hearts won 3-1 away at Hibernian in the Scottish Premiership. Our model backed Hibernian at 45 percent probability; the pick missed. Hibernian had managed just two draws in their last five matches while Hearts arrived unbeaten in their recent run. The visitors' attacking threat proved decisive in a one-sided Edinburgh derby. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Hibernian v Hearts · Scottish Premiership ·

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Adam Mayor★ MOTM1 goal · 44 min7.7
  2. Josh MulliganHIB1 assist · 90 min7.6
  3. James WilsonHEA1 goal · 72 min7.4
  4. Jamie McGrathHIB90 min7.1
  5. Jason Kerr90 min7.1

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

The provider forecast gives Hibernian win the highest 1X2 probability at 45.0%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

HIB
45.0%
Draw
24.3%
HEA
30.8%
Both teams to score · Yes
59.0%
Over 2.5 goals
56.4%

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Match facts · what the record shows

Pre-match facts retained

The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.

Head-to-head evidence

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 1-1is the most common scoreline between Hibernian and Hearts, landing 5 times across 29 league meetings on record.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 16/29recorded league meetings saw both teams score (55.2%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 28league matches at home unbeaten for Hibernian.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Hibernian scored first in 6 of their last 10 league matches (60%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Hearts scored first in 5 of their last 10 league matches (50%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Hibernian have averaged 1.5 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Hearts have averaged 2.1 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Laurent Mendy has the highest listed average xGOT for Hearts at 0.81 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot

Immutable kick-off snapshot · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Hibernian vs Hearts?
    HEA beat HIB 3-1 in the Scottish Premiership.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    James Wilson opened the scoring in the 13th minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    James Wilson (13'), Laurent Mendy (43'), Adam Mayor (51'), Josh McPake (66').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 2 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Don Robertson officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    HIB vs HEA kicked off on Thursday, 3 September 2026 UK time.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    15 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    Yes. The published pick was Both teams to score, and it landed.
  • When do they play next?
    HIB play Hibernian on Saturday, 17 October 2026 UK time. HEA play Hearts on Thursday, 15 October 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.