Augsburg's Leaky Defence Meets a Berlin Side Running on Empty
SportSignals Match Desk · Football analysis desk ·
Saturday 24 October 2026. Augsburg versus Union Berlin. Two clubs with problems they have not solved. One of them has to win. Let's get into it.
Augsburg: Goals Are Not the Issue. Keeping Them Out Is.
The thing is, Augsburg can score. Thirteen goals across their last five Bundesliga matches tells you that. The problem is they have conceded twelve in that same sample. A clean sheet percentage of zero. Every single one of their last five matches ended with both sides scoring. That is not a defensive record. That is an open invitation.
Their last outing was a 3-4 home loss to Elversberg. Elversberg. Listen, if you are shipping four goals at home to Elversberg, something is badly wrong at the back. Before that, they drew 2-2 with Bayern Munich, which looks decent on paper, then lost 2-3 to Werder Bremen. One win in five. Against Eintracht Frankfurt, 4-1, back in September. That was five weeks ago. You cannot live off one result forever.
The standards at the back are unacceptable. Simple as that. End of.
Union Berlin: The Goals Have Dried Up Completely
Union arrive in worse overall shape and that takes some doing. Three losses from their last five Bundesliga matches. Two goals scored across that entire sample. Two. They conceded fourteen. A 0-7 loss to Bayern Munich sits in there. A 0-4 defeat to Bayer Leverkusen. A 1-3 loss to Schalke 04.
The thing is, they showed something in their most recent two outings. A 1-0 win over Elversberg, then a 0-0 draw at Borussia Dortmund. Back-to-back clean sheets. Their clean sheet percentage across the five-match sample sits at forty percent, which is actually their strongest number. So they can defend when they want to. The desire to do so has clearly returned in recent weeks.
But they are also carrying a significant injury burden. Five players out, three of them with major injuries, one long-term. That is not a squad issue you manage around easily. That is a crisis. Accountability falls on whoever is left standing.
Head to Head: Berlin Have the Edge
In two previous meetings between these sides in the Bundesliga, Union Berlin have won one and drawn one. Augsburg have not won either encounter. Union Berlin have scored five goals across those two matches. Augsburg have scored one. There is a head-to-head clean sheet in there for Union Berlin as well. The numbers favour the visitors in this fixture, even if their current form is a mess.
The Bet: Both Teams to Score
I hate accumulators. One selection. One conviction. Here it is.
Union have scored two goals in five matches so you might question their end. But they beat Elversberg 1-0 and they did find the net against Schalke. Against a defence that has not kept a clean sheet in five matches, I back them to contribute.
Verdict
Augsburg to edge it at home, but goals at both ends. This is a match between two sides with real problems at the back. One of them has to lose. My money is just on the game being open enough that both contribute. Back both teams to score and get on with your afternoon.